Esiliiga A — Estonia
Mon, Nov 3 2025 • 17:00 • Tartu Sepa tänava staadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.96 (league 2.04) 4.30 (league 1.77)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
3.5% 6.2% 63.9%
best score tips
0 - 4
7.4%
1 - 4
7.1%
0 - 3
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
Tartu Welco
0 1 2 3 4 5
Luunja 0 0.5% 2.2% 4.8% 6.9% 7.4% 6.4%
1 0.5% 2.1% 4.6% 6.6% 7.1% 6.1%
2 0.2% 1.0% 2.2% 3.2% 3.4% 2.9%
3 0.1% 0.3% 0.7% 1.0% 1.1% 0.9%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLuunjaTartu Welco
Played55
Form0%67%
Attack5%68%
Defense5%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.213 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)18 | 3.610 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

61%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Luunja Tartu Welco
HATHAT
Played161834181634
Wins13%0%6%50%56%53%
Draws0%0%0%22%19%21%
Loses88%100%94%28%25%26%

Form: Luunja: LLLLLLWLLLLLLLLLWLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLL • Tartu Welco: WDLWWDWWWWDWDWLLWWWLLWWLWLDLDDLWWW

League goals

Metric Luunja Tartu Welco
HATHAT
GF total201333373673
GF avg1.30.71.02.12.32.1
GA total5380133292453
GA avg3.34.43.91.61.51.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLuunjaTartu Welco
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%100%94%74%
1.529%82%62%44%
2.59%71%41%24%
3.56%50%12%9%
4.53%35%6%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLuunjaTartu Welco
HATHAT
Clean sheets000459
Failed to score71017202

Penalties

MetricLuunjaTartu Welco
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total35

Streaks

MetricLuunjaTartu Welco
Wins14
Draws02
Losses92

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-1—5-21-5
Biggest losses0-129-02-55-2
Goals For5355
Goals Against12955

Model comparison

MetricLuunjaTartu Welco
Form0%100%
Att7%93%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution18%82%
H2h15%85%
Goals27%73%
Total20.6%79.4%

Advice: Combo Winner : Tartu Welco and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home17.00 @ William Hill
Draw9.00 @ William Hill
Away1.34 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ William Hill
No3.30 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.22 @ Unibet
Under 2.55.20 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Luunja = 0.96 (league 2.04), Tartu Welco = 4.30 (league 1.77)

Tartu Welco
0 1 2 3 4 5
Luunja 0 0.5% 2.2% 4.8% 6.9% 7.4% 6.4%
1 0.5% 2.1% 4.6% 6.6% 7.1% 6.1%
2 0.2% 1.0% 2.2% 3.2% 3.4% 2.9%
3 0.1% 0.3% 0.7% 1.0% 1.1% 0.9%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 3.5% · Draw 6.2% · Away win 63.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1