Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 14:00 • Männiku staadion
Not Started
Expected Goals
2.65 (league 2.04) 0.75 (league 1.77)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
72.4% 14.1% 8.2%
best score tips
2 - 0
11.7%
3 - 0
10.3%
1 - 0
8.8%
Score & goals probability table
Elva
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nõmme United 0 3.3% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 8.8% 6.6% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.7% 8.8% 3.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 10.3% 7.8% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 6.8% 5.2% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.6% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNõmme UnitedElva
Played55
Form80%40%
Attack100%32%
Defense79%68%
Goals For (tot | avg)21 | 4.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

76%
FT probability

3.5+

54%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nõmme United Elva
HATHAT
Played171734181735
Wins88%76%82%50%47%49%
Draws0%12%6%17%24%20%
Loses12%12%12%33%29%31%

Form: Nõmme United: WWWWLWWWWWDWLWWWWWWWWLDWWWWWWWWWWL • Elva: DWWWWLLDDWWDWDWWLWLLWLWWLDLWDWLWLLW

League goals

Metric Nõmme United Elva
HATHAT
GF total6253115293362
GF avg3.63.13.41.61.91.8
GA total121426282654
GA avg0.70.80.81.61.51.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNõmme UnitedElva
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.591%59%86%77%
1.582%15%51%49%
2.562%3%20%23%
3.544%0%11%6%
4.521%0%9%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNõmme UnitedElva
HATHAT
Clean sheets9514448
Failed to score213415

Penalties

MetricNõmme UnitedElva
Scored (total | %)8 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total85

Streaks

MetricNõmme UnitedElva
Wins104
Draws12
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins8-00-125-32-5
Biggest losses0-23-21-44-1
Goals For81255
Goals Against2344

Model comparison

MetricNõmme UnitedElva
Form67%33%
Att78%22%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution78%22%
H2h100%0%
Goals85%15%
Total73.6%26.4%

Advice: Winner : Nõmme United

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.10 @ 1xBet
Draw8.50 @ Unibet
Away14.00 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.20 @ Unibet
Under 2.53.95 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Unibet
No1.77 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Nõmme United = 2.65 (league 2.04), Elva = 0.75 (league 1.77)

Elva
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nõmme United 0 3.3% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 8.8% 6.6% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.7% 8.8% 3.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 10.3% 7.8% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 6.8% 5.2% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.6% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 72.4% · Draw 14.1% · Away win 8.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1