Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 14:00 •
Männiku staadion
Expected Goals
2.65 (league 2.04)
0.75 (league 1.77)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 72.4% | 14.1% | 8.2% |
best score tips
2 - 0
11.7%
3 - 0
10.3%
1 - 0
8.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Elva | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nõmme United | 0 | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 8.8% | 6.6% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.7% | 8.8% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.3% | 7.8% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.8% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Nõmme United | Elva |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 40% |
| Attack | 100% | 32% |
| Defense | 79% | 68% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 21 | 4.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
76%
FT probability
3.5+
54%
FT probability
BTTS
77%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Nõmme United | Elva | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 17 | 17 | 34 | 18 | 17 | 35 |
| Wins | 88% | 76% | 82% | 50% | 47% | 49% |
| Draws | 0% | 12% | 6% | 17% | 24% | 20% |
| Loses | 12% | 12% | 12% | 33% | 29% | 31% |
Form: Nõmme United: WWWWLWWWWWDWLWWWWWWWWLDWWWWWWWWWWL • Elva: DWWWWLLDDWWDWDWWLWLLWLWWLDLWDWLWLLW
League goals
| Metric | Nõmme United | Elva | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 62 | 53 | 115 | 29 | 33 | 62 |
| GF avg | 3.6 | 3.1 | 3.4 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 12 | 14 | 26 | 28 | 26 | 54 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Nõmme United | Elva | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 91% | 59% | 86% | 77% |
| 1.5 | 82% | 15% | 51% | 49% |
| 2.5 | 62% | 3% | 20% | 23% |
| 3.5 | 44% | 0% | 11% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 21% | 0% | 9% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Nõmme United | Elva | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 9 | 5 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Nõmme United | Elva |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 8 | 100.00% | 5 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 8 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | Nõmme United | Elva |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 10 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 8-0 | 0-12 | 5-3 | 2-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-2 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 8 | 12 | 5 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Nõmme United | Elva |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 78% | 22% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 78% | 22% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 85% | 15% |
| Total | 73.6% | 26.4% |
Advice: Winner : Nõmme United
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.10 @ 1xBet
Draw8.50 @ Unibet
Away14.00 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.20 @ Unibet
Under 2.53.95 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.91 @ Unibet
No1.77 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Nõmme United = 2.65 (league 2.04), Elva = 0.75 (league 1.77)
| Elva | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nõmme United | 0 | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 8.8% | 6.6% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.7% | 8.8% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.3% | 7.8% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.8% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 72.4% · Draw 14.1% · Away win 8.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1
