Esiliiga A — Estonia
Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 10:30 • Sportland Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.60 (league 2.06) 1.65 (league 1.73)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.6% 23.2% 38.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.2%
1 - 2
8.5%
2 - 1
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
Tartu Welco
0 1 2 3 4 5
Flora II 0 3.9% 6.4% 5.3% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4%
1 6.2% 10.2% 8.5% 4.7% 1.9% 0.6%
2 4.9% 8.2% 6.8% 3.7% 1.5% 0.5%
3 2.6% 4.4% 3.6% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3%
4 1.1% 1.7% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFlora IITartu Welco
Played55
Form20%67%
Attack35%70%
Defense30%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.414 | 2.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)14 | 2.811 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

71%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Flora II Tartu Welco
HATHAT
Played171835181735
Wins47%28%37%50%53%51%
Draws24%22%23%22%24%23%
Loses29%50%40%28%24%26%

Form: Flora II: WWDLLDDWDWWLLLDLDWLLLWDWWWDLWWLWLLL • Tartu Welco: WDLWWDWWWWDWDWLLWWWLLWWLWLDLDDLWWWD

League goals

Metric Flora II Tartu Welco
HATHAT
GF total382260373875
GF avg2.21.21.72.12.22.1
GA total223355292655
GA avg1.31.81.61.61.51.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFlora IITartu Welco
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.574%69%94%74%
1.549%51%63%46%
2.520%20%40%23%
3.511%14%11%9%
4.56%3%6%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFlora IITartu Welco
HATHAT
Clean sheets8311459
Failed to score369202

Penalties

MetricFlora IITartu Welco
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total25

Streaks

MetricFlora IITartu Welco
Wins34
Draws22
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins9-01-45-21-5
Biggest losses1-54-02-55-2
Goals For9455
Goals Against5455

Model comparison

MetricFlora IITartu Welco
Form23%77%
Att33%67%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h38%62%
Goals48%52%
Total39.5%60.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Tartu Welco and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.60 @ 10Bet
Draw5.20 @ Unibet
Away1.60 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.32 @ Unibet
No3.30 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.22 @ Unibet
Under 2.53.80 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Flora II = 1.60 (league 2.06), Tartu Welco = 1.65 (league 1.73)

Tartu Welco
0 1 2 3 4 5
Flora II 0 3.9% 6.4% 5.3% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4%
1 6.2% 10.2% 8.5% 4.7% 1.9% 0.6%
2 4.9% 8.2% 6.8% 3.7% 1.5% 0.5%
3 2.6% 4.4% 3.6% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3%
4 1.1% 1.7% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.6% · Draw 23.2% · Away win 38.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1