Esiliiga A — Estonia
Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 10:30 • Tartu Sepa tänava staadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.39 (league 2.06) 3.33 (league 1.73)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
11.9% 13.1% 62.7%
best score tips
1 - 3
7.6%
1 - 2
6.9%
1 - 4
6.4%
Score & goals probability table
FC Tallinn
0 1 2 3 4 5
Luunja 0 0.9% 3.0% 5.0% 5.5% 4.6% 3.1%
1 1.2% 4.1% 6.9% 7.6% 6.4% 4.2%
2 0.9% 2.9% 4.8% 5.3% 4.4% 2.9%
3 0.4% 1.3% 2.2% 2.4% 2.0% 1.4%
4 0.1% 0.5% 0.8% 0.8% 0.7% 0.5%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLuunjaFC Tallinn
Played55
Form7%27%
Attack15%40%
Defense5%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)19 | 3.811 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

61%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Luunja FC Tallinn
HATHAT
Played171835181735
Wins12%0%6%28%35%31%
Draws6%0%3%22%18%20%
Loses82%100%91%50%47%49%

Form: Luunja: LLLLLLWLLLLLLLLLWLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLD • FC Tallinn: LLDLLWWDDLLDWWWWWLLWWLLLLLDLDWDLLWL

League goals

Metric Luunja FC Tallinn
HATHAT
GF total221335293059
GF avg1.30.71.01.61.81.7
GA total5580135323870
GA avg3.24.43.91.82.22.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLuunjaFC Tallinn
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.551%100%80%86%
1.531%83%43%63%
2.59%69%20%26%
3.56%49%11%14%
4.53%34%6%9%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLuunjaFC Tallinn
HATHAT
Clean sheets000325
Failed to score71017257

Penalties

MetricLuunjaFC Tallinn
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total35

Streaks

MetricLuunjaFC Tallinn
Wins15
Draws02
Losses175

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-1—7-00-3
Biggest losses0-129-01-56-0
Goals For5376
Goals Against12956

Model comparison

MetricLuunjaFC Tallinn
Form20%80%
Att27%73%
Def37%63%
Poisson Distribution31%69%
H2h0%100%
Goals27%73%
Total28.4%71.6%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or FC Tallinn and +1.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.60 @ Betfair
Draw5.66 @ Pinnacle
Away1.55 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.29 @ William Hill
No3.60 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.17 @ Unibet
Under 2.54.50 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Luunja = 1.39 (league 2.06), FC Tallinn = 3.33 (league 1.73)

FC Tallinn
0 1 2 3 4 5
Luunja 0 0.9% 3.0% 5.0% 5.5% 4.6% 3.1%
1 1.2% 4.1% 6.9% 7.6% 6.4% 4.2%
2 0.9% 2.9% 4.8% 5.3% 4.4% 2.9%
3 0.4% 1.3% 2.2% 2.4% 2.0% 1.4%
4 0.1% 0.5% 0.8% 0.8% 0.7% 0.5%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.9% · Draw 13.1% · Away win 62.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1