Esiliiga A
— Estonia
Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 10:30 •
Tartu Sepa tänava staadion
Expected Goals
1.40 (league 2.04)
3.26 (league 1.77)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 12.6% | 13.5% | 62.3% |
best score tips
1 - 3
7.6%
1 - 2
7.0%
1 - 4
6.2%
Score & goals probability table
| FC Tallinn | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Luunja | 0 | 0.9% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.9% |
| 1 | 1.3% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.1% | |
| 2 | 0.9% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.9% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Luunja | FC Tallinn |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 27% |
| Attack | 16% | 42% |
| Defense | 0% | 42% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 19 | 3.8 | 11 | 2.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
85%
FT probability
3.5+
61%
FT probability
BTTS
81%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Luunja | FC Tallinn | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 17 | 18 | 35 | 18 | 17 | 35 |
| Wins | 12% | 0% | 6% | 28% | 35% | 31% |
| Draws | 6% | 0% | 3% | 22% | 18% | 20% |
| Loses | 82% | 100% | 91% | 50% | 47% | 49% |
Form: Luunja: LLLLLLWLLLLLLLLLWLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLD • FC Tallinn: LLDLLWWDDLLDWWWWWLLWWLLLLLDLDWDLLWL
League goals
| Metric | Luunja | FC Tallinn | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 22 | 13 | 35 | 29 | 30 | 59 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 55 | 80 | 135 | 32 | 38 | 70 |
| GA avg | 3.2 | 4.4 | 3.9 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Luunja | FC Tallinn | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 51% | 100% | 80% | 86% |
| 1.5 | 31% | 83% | 43% | 63% |
| 2.5 | 9% | 69% | 20% | 26% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 49% | 11% | 14% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 34% | 6% | 9% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Luunja | FC Tallinn | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 7 | 10 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Luunja | FC Tallinn |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 5 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | Luunja | FC Tallinn |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 5 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 17 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | — | 7-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-12 | 9-0 | 1-5 | 6-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 7 | 6 |
| Goals Against | 12 | 9 | 5 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Luunja | FC Tallinn |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 20% | 80% |
| Att | 27% | 73% |
| Def | 37% | 63% |
| Poisson Distribution | 30% | 70% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 27% | 73% |
| Total | 28.2% | 71.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or FC Tallinn and +1.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Luunja = 1.40 (league 2.04), FC Tallinn = 3.26 (league 1.77)
| FC Tallinn | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Luunja | 0 | 0.9% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.9% |
| 1 | 1.3% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.1% | |
| 2 | 0.9% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.9% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.6% · Draw 13.5% · Away win 62.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1