Wed, Sep 24 2025 • 13:45 • Stadyen Junatstva
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.61 (league 1.38) 1.11 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.2% 32.3% 47.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
19.9%
0 - 0
18.0%
1 - 1
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
Dinamo Minsk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Smorgon 0 18.0% 19.9% 11.0% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2%
1 11.0% 12.1% 6.7% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
2 3.3% 3.7% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.7% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSmorgonDinamo Minsk
Played55
Form53%67%
Attack36%100%
Defense73%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.812 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Smorgon Dinamo Minsk
HATHAT
Played101121111021
Wins20%18%19%82%30%57%
Draws30%18%24%0%30%14%
Loses50%64%57%18%40%29%

Form: Smorgon: LLDLLLLWLDLLLLWDDWLDW • Dinamo Minsk: WDLWWWDWWWWLLLWLWWDLW

League goals

Metric Smorgon Dinamo Minsk
HATHAT
GF total6915251035
GF avg0.60.80.72.31.01.7
GA total13183181422
GA avg1.31.61.50.71.41.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSmorgonDinamo Minsk
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%81%76%67%
1.510%48%48%33%
2.55%14%24%5%
3.50%5%14%0%
4.50%0%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSmorgonDinamo Minsk
HATHAT
Clean sheets224437
Failed to score639235

Penalties

MetricSmorgonDinamo Minsk
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricSmorgonDinamo Minsk
Wins14
Draws21
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-15-01-2
Biggest losses0-43-10-13-0
Goals For3252
Goals Against4323

Model comparison

MetricSmorgonDinamo Minsk
Form44%56%
Att25%75%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution36%64%
H2h29%71%
Goals7%93%
Total34.7%65.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Dinamo Minsk

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home7.20 @ Marathonbet
Draw4.32 @ Pinnacle
Away1.49 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.29 @ Pinnacle
No1.65 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.07 @ SBO
Under 2.51.86 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Smorgon = 0.61 (league 1.38), Dinamo Minsk = 1.11 (league 1.18)

Dinamo Minsk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Smorgon 0 18.0% 19.9% 11.0% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2%
1 11.0% 12.1% 6.7% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
2 3.3% 3.7% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.7% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.2% · Draw 32.3% · Away win 47.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1