Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 13:00 • Stadyen Junost
Match Finished
1 - 0
Expected Goals
0.48 (league 1.38) 1.95 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
8.1% 19.1% 71.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
17.2%
0 - 2
16.8%
0 - 3
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
Neman
0 1 2 3 4 5
Smorgon 0 8.8% 17.2% 16.8% 10.9% 5.3% 2.1%
1 4.2% 8.2% 8.0% 5.2% 2.5% 1.0%
2 1.0% 2.0% 1.9% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2%
3 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSmorgonNeman
Played55
Form47%40%
Attack29%57%
Defense71%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Smorgon Neman
HATHAT
Played11112291019
Wins18%18%18%56%50%53%
Draws27%18%23%0%10%5%
Loses55%64%59%44%40%42%

Form: Smorgon: LLDLLLLWLDLLLLWDDWLDWL • Neman: WLWWLLLWWLWWWDWLLWL

League goals

Metric Smorgon Neman
HATHAT
GF total7916131629
GF avg0.60.80.71.41.61.5
GA total15183381119
GA avg1.41.61.50.91.11.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSmorgonNeman
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.559%82%68%68%
1.59%50%47%21%
2.55%14%26%11%
3.50%5%5%0%
4.50%0%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSmorgonNeman
HATHAT
Clean sheets224246
Failed to score639336

Penalties

MetricSmorgonNeman
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricSmorgonNeman
Wins13
Draws21
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-13-01-5
Biggest losses0-43-11-23-1
Goals For3235
Goals Against4323

Model comparison

MetricSmorgonNeman
Form54%46%
Att33%67%
Def69%31%
Poisson Distribution22%78%
H2h38%62%
Goals43%57%
Total43.2%56.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Neman

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.30 @ Marathonbet
Draw3.72 @ Marathonbet
Away1.84 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.13 @ Pinnacle
No1.73 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.25 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.70 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Smorgon = 0.48 (league 1.38), Neman = 1.95 (league 1.15)

Neman
0 1 2 3 4 5
Smorgon 0 8.8% 17.2% 16.8% 10.9% 5.3% 2.1%
1 4.2% 8.2% 8.0% 5.2% 2.5% 1.0%
2 1.0% 2.0% 1.9% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2%
3 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 8.1% · Draw 19.1% · Away win 71.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1