Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 14:00 • Stadion Neman
Match Finished
1 - 0
Expected Goals
1.61 (league 1.39) 0.47 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.9% 23.9% 10.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
20.0%
2 - 0
16.1%
0 - 0
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
Naftan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Neman 0 12.4% 5.9% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.0% 9.5% 2.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.1% 7.6% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.7% 4.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.5% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNemanNaftan
Played55
Form27%53%
Attack40%100%
Defense30%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.815 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.410 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Neman Naftan
HATHAT
Played111223121224
Wins55%42%48%33%25%29%
Draws9%8%9%25%8%17%
Loses36%50%43%42%67%54%

Form: Neman: WLWWLLLWWLWWWDWLLWLLDWL • Naftan: WDLLLWWLLLLLLDWLLWLDDWLW

League goals

Metric Neman Naftan
HATHAT
GF total15173223831
GF avg1.41.41.41.90.71.3
GA total91423231942
GA avg0.81.21.01.91.61.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNemanNaftan
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%70%54%83%
1.539%22%42%58%
2.522%9%17%29%
3.54%0%8%4%
4.54%0%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNemanNaftan
HATHAT
Clean sheets347224
Failed to score3474711

Penalties

MetricNemanNaftan
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricNemanNaftan
Wins32
Draws12
Losses36

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-55-00-2
Biggest losses1-23-10-33-0
Goals For3552
Goals Against2334

Model comparison

MetricNemanNaftan
Form33%67%
Att21%79%
Def59%41%
Poisson Distribution77%23%
H2h93%7%
Goals83%17%
Total61.0%39.0%

Advice: Double chance : Neman or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.53 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.20 @ Dafabet
Away6.31 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.97 @ Pinnacle
No1.83 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.90 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.93 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Neman = 1.61 (league 1.39), Naftan = 0.47 (league 1.18)

Naftan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Neman 0 12.4% 5.9% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.0% 9.5% 2.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.1% 7.6% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.7% 4.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.5% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.9% · Draw 23.9% · Away win 10.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1