Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 10:00 • Yunost Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.71 (league 1.38) 1.47 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.9% 26.5% 55.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
16.6%
0 - 2
12.2%
1 - 1
11.8%
Score & goals probability table
Bate Borisov
0 1 2 3 4 5
Smorgon 0 11.3% 16.6% 12.2% 6.0% 2.2% 0.7%
1 8.0% 11.8% 8.7% 4.3% 1.6% 0.5%
2 2.8% 4.2% 3.1% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
3 0.7% 1.0% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSmorgonBate Borisov
Played55
Form47%53%
Attack42%50%
Defense50%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Smorgon Bate Borisov
HATHAT
Played121224121224
Wins25%17%21%25%42%33%
Draws25%17%21%33%17%25%
Loses50%67%58%42%42%42%

Form: Smorgon: LLDLLLLWLDLLLLWDDWLDWLWL • Bate Borisov: WLWDLWWLLDLLDDLLLWWDWDLW

League goals

Metric Smorgon Bate Borisov
HATHAT
GF total81018131629
GF avg0.70.80.81.11.31.2
GA total152136221739
GA avg1.31.81.51.81.41.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSmorgonBate Borisov
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%79%75%67%
1.58%50%38%54%
2.54%17%8%21%
3.50%4%0%13%
4.50%0%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSmorgonBate Borisov
HATHAT
Clean sheets325448
Failed to score639426

Penalties

MetricSmorgonBate Borisov
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricSmorgonBate Borisov
Wins12
Draws22
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-12-00-3
Biggest losses0-43-11-53-0
Goals For3223
Goals Against4353

Model comparison

MetricSmorgonBate Borisov
Form47%53%
Att45%55%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution33%67%
H2h15%85%
Goals35%65%
Total36.7%63.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Bate Borisov

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.80 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.24 @ Marathonbet
Away2.55 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ 188Bet
No1.91 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.68 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Smorgon = 0.71 (league 1.38), Bate Borisov = 1.47 (league 1.15)

Bate Borisov
0 1 2 3 4 5
Smorgon 0 11.3% 16.6% 12.2% 6.0% 2.2% 0.7%
1 8.0% 11.8% 8.7% 4.3% 1.6% 0.5%
2 2.8% 4.2% 3.1% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
3 0.7% 1.0% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.9% · Draw 26.5% · Away win 55.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1