Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 11:00 • Borisov Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.27 (league 1.38) 0.84 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.4% 28.9% 24.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.4%
1 - 1
12.9%
0 - 0
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
Naftan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bate Borisov 0 12.1% 10.2% 4.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 15.4% 12.9% 5.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 9.8% 8.2% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.2% 3.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.3% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBate BorisovNaftan
Played55
Form67%20%
Attack45%64%
Defense82%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.411 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bate Borisov Naftan
HATHAT
Played141428141428
Wins29%43%36%29%21%25%
Draws36%14%25%21%7%14%
Loses36%43%39%50%71%61%

Form: Bate Borisov: WLWDLWWLLDLLDDLLLWWDWDLWLWWD • Naftan: WDLLLWWLLLLLLDWLLWLDDWLWLLLL

League goals

Metric Bate Borisov Naftan
HATHAT
GF total15183325833
GF avg1.11.31.21.80.61.2
GA total231841282250
GA avg1.61.31.52.01.61.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBate BorisovNaftan
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%64%54%86%
1.536%46%36%61%
2.57%18%14%29%
3.50%11%7%4%
4.50%7%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBate BorisovNaftan
HATHAT
Clean sheets5510224
Failed to score4374913

Penalties

MetricBate BorisovNaftan
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricBate BorisovNaftan
Wins22
Draws22
Losses36

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-35-00-2
Biggest losses1-53-00-33-0
Goals For2352
Goals Against5334

Model comparison

MetricBate BorisovNaftan
Form77%23%
Att42%58%
Def85%15%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h75%25%
Goals65%35%
Total67.3%32.7%

Advice: Double chance : Bate Borisov or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.00 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.57 @ Pinnacle
Away3.92 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.94 @ 188Bet
No2.00 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.89 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bate Borisov = 1.27 (league 1.38), Naftan = 0.84 (league 1.15)

Naftan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bate Borisov 0 12.1% 10.2% 4.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 15.4% 12.9% 5.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 9.8% 8.2% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.2% 3.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.3% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.4% · Draw 28.9% · Away win 24.5%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1