Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 11:00 • Atlant Stadium
Match Finished
2 - 0
Expected Goals
1.43 (league 1.38) 1.74 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.4% 23.2% 44.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.4%
1 - 2
9.1%
2 - 1
7.5%
Score & goals probability table
Arsenal
0 1 2 3 4 5
Naftan 0 4.2% 7.3% 6.4% 3.7% 1.6% 0.6%
1 6.0% 10.4% 9.1% 5.3% 2.3% 0.8%
2 4.3% 7.5% 6.5% 3.8% 1.6% 0.6%
3 2.0% 3.6% 3.1% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3%
4 0.7% 1.3% 1.1% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNaftanArsenal
Played55
Form0%47%
Attack15%23%
Defense0%77%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.43 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Naftan Arsenal
HATHAT
Played141529151429
Wins29%20%24%27%21%24%
Draws21%7%14%40%43%41%
Loses50%73%62%33%36%34%

Form: Naftan: WDLLLWWLLLLLLDWLLWLDDWLWLLLLL • Arsenal: DDDLLDLDDLWWWWLDLDDWDDLLLWDLW

League goals

Metric Naftan Arsenal
HATHAT
GF total25833131427
GF avg1.80.51.10.91.00.9
GA total282755171633
GA avg2.01.81.91.11.11.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNaftanArsenal
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.552%86%62%76%
1.534%62%24%21%
2.514%31%7%10%
3.57%7%0%7%
4.57%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNaftanArsenal
HATHAT
Clean sheets224347
Failed to score410146511

Penalties

MetricNaftanArsenal
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total35

Streaks

MetricNaftanArsenal
Wins24
Draws23
Losses63

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-23-00-3
Biggest losses0-35-00-44-0
Goals For5233
Goals Against3544

Model comparison

MetricNaftanArsenal
Form0%100%
Att40%60%
Def19%81%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h62%38%
Goals80%20%
Total49.4%50.6%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Arsenal

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.63 @ Marathonbet
Draw3.28 @ Marathonbet
Away2.69 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ 188Bet
No2.00 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.07 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.78 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Naftan = 1.43 (league 1.38), Arsenal = 1.74 (league 1.15)

Arsenal
0 1 2 3 4 5
Naftan 0 4.2% 7.3% 6.4% 3.7% 1.6% 0.6%
1 6.0% 10.4% 9.1% 5.3% 2.3% 0.8%
2 4.3% 7.5% 6.5% 3.8% 1.6% 0.6%
3 2.0% 3.6% 3.1% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3%
4 0.7% 1.3% 1.1% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.4% · Draw 23.2% · Away win 44.2%

Vtot 10 , Vtod1