Thu, Oct 2 2025 • 06:00 • Mungyeong Public Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.39 (league 1.40) 1.85 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.7% 22.6% 47.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.1%
1 - 2
9.3%
0 - 1
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
Gyeongju
0 1 2 3 4 5
Boeun Sangmu 0 3.9% 7.2% 6.7% 4.1% 1.9% 0.7%
1 5.4% 10.1% 9.3% 5.7% 2.7% 1.0%
2 3.8% 7.0% 6.5% 4.0% 1.8% 0.7%
3 1.8% 3.2% 3.0% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3%
4 0.6% 1.1% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBoeun SangmuGyeongju
Played55
Form27%40%
Attack25%63%
Defense38%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Boeun Sangmu Gyeongju
HATHAT
Played131427151227
Wins38%21%30%40%50%44%
Draws31%21%26%27%17%22%
Loses31%57%44%33%33%33%

Form: Boeun Sangmu: LWDLWLDWLLWLLLDDDWWWDLLLWLD • Gyeongju: LDDWWLWWLWWDWLLWWWWLLLWDDDL

League goals

Metric Boeun Sangmu Gyeongju
HATHAT
GF total191433222345
GF avg1.51.01.21.51.91.7
GA total152035201636
GA avg1.21.41.31.31.31.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBoeun SangmuGyeongju
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%74%74%70%
1.526%41%44%44%
2.515%11%26%15%
3.511%4%15%4%
4.57%0%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBoeun SangmuGyeongju
HATHAT
Clean sheets437628
Failed to score5510527

Penalties

MetricBoeun SangmuGyeongju
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricBoeun SangmuGyeongju
Wins34
Draws33
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-45-00-4
Biggest losses0-43-01-43-0
Goals For5455
Goals Against4343

Model comparison

MetricBoeun SangmuGyeongju
Form40%60%
Att29%71%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h29%71%
Goals38%63%
Total38.2%62.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Gyeongju

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.15 @ Unibet
Draw3.55 @ Unibet
Away2.15 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.93 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.07 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.78 @ Pinnacle
No2.16 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Boeun Sangmu = 1.39 (league 1.40), Gyeongju = 1.85 (league 1.23)

Gyeongju
0 1 2 3 4 5
Boeun Sangmu 0 3.9% 7.2% 6.7% 4.1% 1.9% 0.7%
1 5.4% 10.1% 9.3% 5.7% 2.7% 1.0%
2 3.8% 7.0% 6.5% 4.0% 1.8% 0.7%
3 1.8% 3.2% 3.0% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3%
4 0.6% 1.1% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.7% · Draw 22.6% · Away win 47.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1