Thu, Oct 2 2025 • 10:00 • Namdong Asiad Rugby Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.28 (league 1.42) 0.43 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.9% 29.4% 12.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
23.1%
0 - 0
18.0%
2 - 0
14.8%
Score & goals probability table
Suwon FMC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Incheon Red Angels 0 18.0% 7.8% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.1% 10.0% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.8% 6.4% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.3% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricIncheon Red AngelsSuwon FMC
Played55
Form60%27%
Attack55%27%
Defense45%27%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Incheon Red Angels Suwon FMC
HATHAT
Played131427141327
Wins54%43%48%29%8%19%
Draws31%29%30%14%46%30%
Loses15%29%22%57%46%52%

Form: Incheon Red Angels: WWDWWDDDLDDWDLWWLLWWWDLLWWW • Suwon FMC: DLWLLDDLLWLDLDWDWDLLLLWLLDL

League goals

Metric Incheon Red Angels Suwon FMC
HATHAT
GF total171835151227
GF avg1.31.31.31.10.91.0
GA total81826271845
GA avg0.61.31.01.91.41.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineIncheon Red AngelsSuwon FMC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%59%67%74%
1.533%26%30%52%
2.515%11%4%30%
3.50%0%0%7%
4.50%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricIncheon Red AngelsSuwon FMC
HATHAT
Clean sheets8311347
Failed to score325459

Penalties

MetricIncheon Red AngelsSuwon FMC
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricIncheon Red AngelsSuwon FMC
Wins31
Draws32
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-02-32-10-3
Biggest losses1-33-10-43-0
Goals For3323
Goals Against3353

Model comparison

MetricIncheon Red AngelsSuwon FMC
Form69%31%
Att67%33%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution74%26%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total61.2%38.8%

Advice: Double chance : Incheon Red Angels or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.62 @ William Hill
Draw3.87 @ Pinnacle
Away5.24 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.12 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.88 @ 188Bet
No2.08 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Incheon Red Angels = 1.28 (league 1.42), Suwon FMC = 0.43 (league 1.25)

Suwon FMC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Incheon Red Angels 0 18.0% 7.8% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.1% 10.0% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.8% 6.4% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.3% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.9% · Draw 29.4% · Away win 12.4%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1