League One — China
Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 11:00 • Jiading Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.41 (league 1.49) 0.80 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.9% 27.3% 21.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.4%
1 - 1
12.4%
0 - 0
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
Heilongjiang Lava Spring
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shanghai Jiading 0 11.0% 8.8% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 15.4% 12.4% 5.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 10.9% 8.7% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.1% 4.1% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.8% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricShanghai JiadingHeilongjiang Lava Spring
Played55
Form20%60%
Attack8%83%
Defense75%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.210 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Shanghai Jiading Heilongjiang Lava Spring
HATHAT
Played111122111122
Wins45%18%32%55%18%36%
Draws27%18%23%36%36%36%
Loses27%64%45%9%45%27%

Form: Shanghai Jiading: LWLDWLDWLLWLWWLLWDDLDL • Heilongjiang Lava Spring: DLDWDDLLDLDWDWDWWWWLLW

League goals

Metric Shanghai Jiading Heilongjiang Lava Spring
HATHAT
GF total15419221032
GF avg1.40.40.92.00.91.5
GA total111627121628
GA avg1.01.51.21.11.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineShanghai JiadingHeilongjiang Lava Spring
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.545%73%86%73%
1.532%27%41%36%
2.59%14%18%18%
3.50%9%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricShanghai JiadingHeilongjiang Lava Spring
HATHAT
Clean sheets426336
Failed to score4812123

Penalties

MetricShanghai JiadingHeilongjiang Lava Spring
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricShanghai JiadingHeilongjiang Lava Spring
Wins24
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-23-00-2
Biggest losses2-44-00-13-0
Goals For3232
Goals Against4433

Model comparison

MetricShanghai JiadingHeilongjiang Lava Spring
Form25%75%
Att9%91%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h62%38%
Goals60%40%
Total47.7%52.3%

Advice: Double chance : Shanghai Jiading or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.78 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.84 @ Marathonbet
Away2.84 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.99 @ Pinnacle
No1.82 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.44 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.54 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Shanghai Jiading = 1.41 (league 1.49), Heilongjiang Lava Spring = 0.80 (league 1.12)

Heilongjiang Lava Spring
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shanghai Jiading 0 11.0% 8.8% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 15.4% 12.4% 5.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 10.9% 8.7% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.1% 4.1% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.8% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.9% · Draw 27.3% · Away win 21.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1