Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 11:30 • Wutaishan Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.54 (league 1.46) 0.81 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.0% 25.7% 19.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.7%
1 - 1
11.9%
2 - 0
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
Dongguan United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nanjing City 0 9.5% 7.7% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.7% 11.9% 4.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.3% 9.2% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.8% 4.7% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.2% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNanjing CityDongguan United
Played55
Form53%27%
Attack89%56%
Defense44%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 110 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nanjing City Dongguan United
HATHAT
Played111122111122
Wins36%27%32%18%27%23%
Draws36%27%32%45%9%27%
Loses27%45%36%36%64%50%

Form: Nanjing City: LWDDDLLWWLLLWDDLWWDDLW • Dongguan United: LLWLDLDLWLDDLDLWWLDLLW

League goals

Metric Nanjing City Dongguan United
HATHAT
GF total17133012820
GF avg1.51.21.41.10.70.9
GA total141630171734
GA avg1.31.51.41.51.51.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNanjing CityDongguan United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%77%68%82%
1.536%32%23%55%
2.518%18%0%18%
3.50%9%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNanjing CityDongguan United
HATHAT
Clean sheets325134
Failed to score224347

Penalties

MetricNanjing CityDongguan United
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricNanjing CityDongguan United
Wins22
Draws32
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-32-10-1
Biggest losses2-43-11-33-0
Goals For3322
Goals Against4433

Model comparison

MetricNanjing CityDongguan United
Form67%33%
Att62%38%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h75%25%
Goals67%33%
Total67.5%32.5%

Advice: Double chance : Nanjing City or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.33 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ Unibet
Away3.45 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.21 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.76 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.89 @ Pinnacle
No1.91 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Nanjing City = 1.54 (league 1.46), Dongguan United = 0.81 (league 1.12)

Dongguan United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nanjing City 0 9.5% 7.7% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.7% 11.9% 4.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.3% 9.2% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.8% 4.7% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.2% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.0% · Draw 25.7% · Away win 19.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1