Fri, Sep 26 2025 • 11:30 • Nanhai Sports Center Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.98 (league 1.46) 0.67 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.6% 34.1% 24.3%
best score tips
0 - 0
19.3%
1 - 0
18.8%
0 - 1
12.9%
Score & goals probability table
Guangxi Baoyun
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dongguan United 0 19.3% 12.9% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.8% 12.6% 4.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 9.2% 6.2% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.0% 2.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDongguan UnitedGuangxi Baoyun
Played55
Form33%67%
Attack56%89%
Defense11%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Dongguan United Guangxi Baoyun
HATHAT
Played111223121123
Wins18%25%22%25%9%17%
Draws45%17%30%25%27%26%
Loses36%58%48%50%64%57%

Form: Dongguan United: LLWLDLDLWLDDLDLWWLDLLWD • Guangxi Baoyun: LLDLLDLLLDWLLLDLLDWWWDL

League goals

Metric Dongguan United Guangxi Baoyun
HATHAT
GF total1292111617
GF avg1.10.80.90.90.50.7
GA total171835181432
GA avg1.51.51.51.51.31.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDongguan UnitedGuangxi Baoyun
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%83%52%74%
1.522%52%13%43%
2.50%17%9%17%
3.50%0%0%4%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDongguan UnitedGuangxi Baoyun
HATHAT
Clean sheets134336
Failed to score3475611

Penalties

MetricDongguan UnitedGuangxi Baoyun
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricDongguan UnitedGuangxi Baoyun
Wins23
Draws21
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-13-10-1
Biggest losses1-33-01-43-1
Goals For2232
Goals Against3343

Model comparison

MetricDongguan UnitedGuangxi Baoyun
Form33%67%
Att38%62%
Def38%62%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h50%50%
Goals45%55%
Total43.5%56.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Guangxi Baoyun

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.62 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.21 @ Pinnacle
Away2.70 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Bet365
No1.83 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.29 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.62 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Dongguan United = 0.98 (league 1.46), Guangxi Baoyun = 0.67 (league 1.12)

Guangxi Baoyun
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dongguan United 0 19.3% 12.9% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.8% 12.6% 4.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 9.2% 6.2% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.0% 2.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.6% · Draw 34.1% · Away win 24.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1