Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 11:30 • Tongliang Long Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.33 (league 1.46) 0.57 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
55.2% 28.6% 15.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
19.9%
0 - 0
14.9%
2 - 0
13.2%
Score & goals probability table
Dongguan United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chongqing Tongliang Long 0 14.9% 8.5% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.9% 11.3% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.2% 7.6% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.9% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChongqing Tongliang LongDongguan United
Played55
Form40%47%
Attack29%50%
Defense43%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chongqing Tongliang Long Dongguan United
HATHAT
Played121325131225
Wins58%62%60%23%25%24%
Draws25%8%16%38%17%28%
Loses17%31%24%38%58%48%

Form: Chongqing Tongliang Long: DWWWWWWWWDDDLWWWLWWLWLLLW • Dongguan United: LLWLDLDLWLDDLDLWWLDLLWDLW

League goals

Metric Chongqing Tongliang Long Dongguan United
HATHAT
GF total16304615924
GF avg1.32.31.81.20.81.0
GA total92231191837
GA avg0.81.71.21.51.51.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChongqing Tongliang LongDongguan United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.584%72%72%80%
1.552%28%24%52%
2.528%20%0%16%
3.516%4%0%0%
4.54%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChongqing Tongliang LongDongguan United
HATHAT
Clean sheets437235
Failed to score314347

Penalties

MetricChongqing Tongliang LongDongguan United
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricChongqing Tongliang LongDongguan United
Wins82
Draws32
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-52-00-1
Biggest losses0-23-01-33-0
Goals For4522
Goals Against2433

Model comparison

MetricChongqing Tongliang LongDongguan United
Form46%54%
Att36%64%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h71%29%
Goals75%25%
Total57.3%42.7%

Advice: Double chance : Chongqing Tongliang Long or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.29 @ Pinnacle
Draw5.50 @ Betfair
Away15.72 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.65 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.21 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.26 @ Pinnacle
No1.65 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chongqing Tongliang Long = 1.33 (league 1.46), Dongguan United = 0.57 (league 1.12)

Dongguan United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chongqing Tongliang Long 0 14.9% 8.5% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.9% 11.3% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.2% 7.6% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.9% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.2% · Draw 28.6% · Away win 15.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1