Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 11:30 • Qingdao Tiantai Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.53 (league 1.46) 0.87 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.2% 37.3% 41.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
24.5%
0 - 1
21.4%
1 - 0
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
Guangxi Baoyun
0 1 2 3 4 5
Qingdao Red Lions 0 24.5% 21.4% 9.4% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.0% 11.4% 5.0% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 3.5% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricQingdao Red LionsGuangxi Baoyun
Played55
Form0%47%
Attack11%37%
Defense37%68%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Qingdao Red Lions Guangxi Baoyun
HATHAT
Played121325131225
Wins8%8%8%23%17%20%
Draws25%23%24%23%25%24%
Loses67%69%68%54%58%56%

Form: Qingdao Red Lions: DDDLLLDLWLLDLDLLLLLWLLLLL • Guangxi Baoyun: LLDLLDLLLDWLLLDLLDWWWDLWL

League goals

Metric Qingdao Red Lions Guangxi Baoyun
HATHAT
GF total771412820
GF avg0.60.50.60.90.70.8
GA total172138201535
GA avg1.41.61.51.51.31.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineQingdao Red LionsGuangxi Baoyun
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.544%84%56%76%
1.58%36%16%44%
2.54%12%8%16%
3.50%8%0%4%
4.50%4%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricQingdao Red LionsGuangxi Baoyun
HATHAT
Clean sheets224336
Failed to score77145611

Penalties

MetricQingdao Red LionsGuangxi Baoyun
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total53

Streaks

MetricQingdao Red LionsGuangxi Baoyun
Wins13
Draws31
Losses53

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-23-11-2
Biggest losses1-37-11-43-1
Goals For3232
Goals Against4743

Model comparison

MetricQingdao Red LionsGuangxi Baoyun
Form0%100%
Att22%78%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution37%63%
H2h0%100%
Goals36%64%
Total32.0%68.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Guangxi Baoyun

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.15 @ 188Bet
Draw3.29 @ Pinnacle
Away2.37 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.70 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.99 @ 188Bet
No1.91 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Qingdao Red Lions = 0.53 (league 1.46), Guangxi Baoyun = 0.87 (league 1.12)

Guangxi Baoyun
0 1 2 3 4 5
Qingdao Red Lions 0 24.5% 21.4% 9.4% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.0% 11.4% 5.0% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 3.5% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.2% · Draw 37.3% · Away win 41.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1