League One — China
Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 11:30 • Pingguo Guojing Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.84 (league 1.49) 0.94 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.9% 33.0% 36.0%
best score tips
0 - 0
16.8%
0 - 1
15.8%
1 - 0
14.2%
Score & goals probability table
Yanbian Longding
0 1 2 3 4 5
Guangxi Baoyun 0 16.8% 15.8% 7.4% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.2% 13.3% 6.2% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 6.0% 5.6% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.7% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGuangxi BaoyunYanbian Longding
Played55
Form27%67%
Attack27%67%
Defense47%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.810 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Guangxi Baoyun Yanbian Longding
HATHAT
Played131427141327
Wins23%14%19%86%8%48%
Draws23%29%26%7%46%26%
Loses54%57%56%7%46%26%

Form: Guangxi Baoyun: LLDLLDLLLDWLLLDLLDWWWDLWLDL • Yanbian Longding: LDLLWWDWLWWDWWDWWLDDLWWWLDW

League goals

Metric Guangxi Baoyun Yanbian Longding
HATHAT
GF total1292125934
GF avg0.90.60.81.80.71.3
GA total20193961824
GA avg1.51.41.40.41.40.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGuangxi BaoyunYanbian Longding
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%78%78%56%
1.515%44%30%26%
2.57%19%15%4%
3.50%4%4%4%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGuangxi BaoyunYanbian Longding
HATHAT
Clean sheets3369312
Failed to score5712156

Penalties

MetricGuangxi BaoyunYanbian Longding
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total43

Streaks

MetricGuangxi BaoyunYanbian Longding
Wins33
Draws12
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-24-10-1
Biggest losses1-43-00-14-0
Goals For3242
Goals Against4324

Model comparison

MetricGuangxi BaoyunYanbian Longding
Form29%71%
Att29%71%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h71%29%
Goals58%42%
Total44.7%55.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Yanbian Longding

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.61 @ 188Bet
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away3.00 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.49 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.60 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.22 @ Pinnacle
No1.82 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Guangxi Baoyun = 0.84 (league 1.49), Yanbian Longding = 0.94 (league 1.12)

Yanbian Longding
0 1 2 3 4 5
Guangxi Baoyun 0 16.8% 15.8% 7.4% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.2% 13.3% 6.2% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 6.0% 5.6% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.7% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.9% · Draw 33.0% · Away win 36.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1