League One — China
Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 06:30 • Dingnan Football Youth Training Center
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.93 (league 1.49) 0.79 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
73.0% 12.2% 7.1%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.5%
3 - 0
10.2%
2 - 1
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
Shenzhen Juniors
0 1 2 3 4 5
Heilongjiang Lava Spring 0 2.4% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 7.1% 5.6% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.5% 8.2% 3.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 10.2% 8.0% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 7.5% 5.9% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 4.4% 3.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHeilongjiang Lava SpringShenzhen Juniors
Played55
Form53%7%
Attack50%40%
Defense50%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 110 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Heilongjiang Lava Spring Shenzhen Juniors
HATHAT
Played141428141428
Wins57%21%39%43%7%25%
Draws36%36%36%14%7%11%
Loses7%43%25%43%86%64%

Form: Heilongjiang Lava Spring: DLDWDDLLDLDWDWDWWWWLLWWDWDLW • Shenzhen Juniors: WLLWLLWLLWLWDDWLLLLLWLLLLDLL

League goals

Metric Heilongjiang Lava Spring Shenzhen Juniors
HATHAT
GF total271239241135
GF avg1.90.91.41.70.81.3
GA total151833263258
GA avg1.11.31.21.92.32.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHeilongjiang Lava SpringShenzhen Juniors
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%71%68%86%
1.543%32%39%61%
2.514%14%11%39%
3.50%0%7%7%
4.50%0%0%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHeilongjiang Lava SpringShenzhen Juniors
HATHAT
Clean sheets358224
Failed to score145369

Penalties

MetricHeilongjiang Lava SpringShenzhen Juniors
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total34

Streaks

MetricHeilongjiang Lava SpringShenzhen Juniors
Wins41
Draws22
Losses25

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-24-00-2
Biggest losses0-13-00-37-1
Goals For3242
Goals Against3337

Model comparison

MetricHeilongjiang Lava SpringShenzhen Juniors
Form89%11%
Att56%44%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution80%20%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total65.3%34.7%

Advice: Winner : Heilongjiang Lava Spring

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.25 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.75 @ Unibet
Away3.20 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.91 @ SBO
Under 2.51.95 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ William Hill
No2.10 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Heilongjiang Lava Spring = 2.93 (league 1.49), Shenzhen Juniors = 0.79 (league 1.12)

Shenzhen Juniors
0 1 2 3 4 5
Heilongjiang Lava Spring 0 2.4% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 7.1% 5.6% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.5% 8.2% 3.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 10.2% 8.0% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 7.5% 5.9% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 4.4% 3.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 73.0% · Draw 12.2% · Away win 7.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1