Wed, Sep 24 2025 • 11:00 •
Hisor Central Stadium
Expected Goals
1.51 (league 1.26)
0.43 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 63.9% | 25.3% | 10.4% |
best score tips
1 - 0
21.6%
2 - 0
16.3%
0 - 0
14.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Barki Tajik | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Istiqlol | 0 | 14.3% | 6.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.6% | 9.4% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.3% | 7.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.2% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Istiqlol | Barki Tajik |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 53% |
| Attack | 100% | 50% |
| Defense | 38% | 88% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
66%
FT probability
2.5+
46%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
58%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Istiqlol | Barki Tajik | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 8 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 16 |
| Wins | 71% | 50% | 60% | 25% | 38% | 31% |
| Draws | 29% | 25% | 27% | 25% | 50% | 38% |
| Loses | 0% | 25% | 13% | 50% | 13% | 31% |
Form: Istiqlol: WWDWWWDWDLLWWWD • Barki Tajik: LWDDWLDDLLWDLWDW
League goals
| Metric | Istiqlol | Barki Tajik | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 12 | 25 | 4 | 13 | 17 |
| GF avg | 1.9 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 2 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 14 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Istiqlol | Barki Tajik | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 53% | 56% | 56% |
| 1.5 | 47% | 7% | 38% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 7% | 13% | 6% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Istiqlol | Barki Tajik | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Istiqlol | Barki Tajik |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Istiqlol | Barki Tajik |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-0 | 0-3 | 2-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 1-0 | 1-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 6 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Istiqlol | Barki Tajik |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56% | 44% |
| Att | 75% | 25% |
| Def | 17% | 83% |
| Poisson Distribution | 79% | 21% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 90% | 10% |
| Total | 63.4% | 36.6% |
Advice: Double chance : Istiqlol or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Istiqlol = 1.51 (league 1.26), Barki Tajik = 0.43 (league 1.11)
| Barki Tajik | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Istiqlol | 0 | 14.3% | 6.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.6% | 9.4% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.3% | 7.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.2% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.9% · Draw 25.3% · Away win 10.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1