Mon, Sep 29 2025 • 14:00 •
Stadion Ibrogimbek Gaforov
Expected Goals
0.41 (league 1.21)
1.27 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 12.0% | 29.6% | 58.1% |
best score tips
0 - 1
23.5%
0 - 0
18.5%
0 - 2
15.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Khatlon | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Barki Tajik | 0 | 18.5% | 23.5% | 15.0% | 6.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 7.7% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Barki Tajik | Khatlon |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 100% |
| Attack | 83% | 100% |
| Defense | 50% | 33% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
62%
FT probability
2.5+
44%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Barki Tajik | Khatlon | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 9 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 17 |
| Wins | 25% | 33% | 29% | 67% | 63% | 65% |
| Draws | 25% | 44% | 35% | 33% | 38% | 35% |
| Loses | 50% | 22% | 35% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Barki Tajik: LWDDWLDDLLWDLWDWL • Khatlon: WWDDWWWDDDWDWWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Barki Tajik | Khatlon | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 14 | 18 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| GF avg | 0.5 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 6 | 10 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 15 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Barki Tajik | Khatlon | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 59% | 59% | 94% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 35% | 29% | 59% | 18% |
| 2.5 | 12% | 6% | 18% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Barki Tajik | Khatlon | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Barki Tajik | Khatlon |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Barki Tajik | Khatlon |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-3 | 3-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 2-0 | — | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Barki Tajik | Khatlon |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 32% | 68% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 57% | 43% |
| Poisson Distribution | 26% | 74% |
| H2h | 93% | 7% |
| Goals | 70% | 30% |
| Total | 51.8% | 48.2% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Khatlon and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Barki Tajik = 0.41 (league 1.21), Khatlon = 1.27 (league 1.13)
| Khatlon | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Barki Tajik | 0 | 18.5% | 23.5% | 15.0% | 6.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 7.7% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away win 58.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1