Mon, Dec 8 2025 • 09:00 •
Vaxs-Arena
Expected Goals
1.23 (league 1.24)
1.57 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 29.7% | 24.8% | 44.7% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.7%
0 - 1
9.5%
1 - 2
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Istiqlol | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Khatlon | 0 | 6.1% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 7.5% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 4.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Khatlon | Istiqlol |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 100% |
| Attack | 17% | 93% |
| Defense | 93% | 80% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 28 | 5.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
84%
FT probability
2.5+
59%
FT probability
3.5+
42%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Khatlon | Istiqlol | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 11 | 21 | 11 | 9 | 20 |
| Wins | 70% | 45% | 57% | 82% | 56% | 70% |
| Draws | 30% | 45% | 38% | 18% | 22% | 20% |
| Loses | 0% | 9% | 5% | 0% | 22% | 10% |
Form: Khatlon: WWDDWWWDDDWDWWWWLDWDW • Istiqlol: WWDWWWDWDLLWWWDWWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Khatlon | Istiqlol | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 15 | 32 | 29 | 24 | 53 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 2.6 | 2.7 | 2.7 |
| GA total | 7 | 10 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 16 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Khatlon | Istiqlol | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 86% | 67% | 85% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 52% | 14% | 60% | 15% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 0% | 35% | 5% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 25% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 25% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Khatlon | Istiqlol | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Khatlon | Istiqlol |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 5 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | Khatlon | Istiqlol |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-2 | 6-0 | 0-9 |
| Biggest losses | — | 1-0 | — | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Khatlon | Istiqlol |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 35% | 65% |
| Att | 15% | 85% |
| Def | 75% | 25% |
| Poisson Distribution | 44% | 56% |
| H2h | 7% | 93% |
| Goals | 8% | 92% |
| Total | 30.7% | 69.3% |
Advice: Winner : Istiqlol
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Khatlon = 1.23 (league 1.24), Istiqlol = 1.57 (league 1.20)
| Istiqlol | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Khatlon | 0 | 6.1% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 7.5% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 4.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.7% · Draw 24.8% · Away win 44.7%
Vtot 2 , Vtod1