Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 12:00 •
Vaxs-Arena
Expected Goals
1.41 (league 1.21)
1.01 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 45.8% | 26.9% | 26.9% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.7%
1 - 0
12.6%
0 - 1
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Istiqlol | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Khatlon | 0 | 9.0% | 9.0% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.6% | 12.7% | 6.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.9% | 8.9% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Khatlon | Istiqlol |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 87% |
| Attack | 100% | 100% |
| Defense | 29% | 29% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 14 | 2.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
70%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Khatlon | Istiqlol | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 9 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 16 |
| Wins | 67% | 44% | 56% | 78% | 43% | 63% |
| Draws | 33% | 44% | 39% | 22% | 29% | 25% |
| Loses | 0% | 11% | 6% | 0% | 29% | 13% |
Form: Khatlon: WWDDWWWDDDWDWWWWLD • Istiqlol: WWDWWWDWDLLWWWDW
League goals
| Metric | Khatlon | Istiqlol | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 13 | 28 | 17 | 10 | 27 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 7 | 10 | 17 | 4 | 7 | 11 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Khatlon | Istiqlol | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 89% | 78% | 81% | 56% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 17% | 50% | 6% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 0% | 19% | 6% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 6% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 6% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Khatlon | Istiqlol | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Khatlon | Istiqlol |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Khatlon | Istiqlol |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 2-3 | 6-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 1-0 | — | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Khatlon | Istiqlol |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43% | 57% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 58% | 42% |
| H2h | 7% | 93% |
| Goals | 8% | 92% |
| Total | 33.2% | 66.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Istiqlol
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Khatlon = 1.41 (league 1.21), Istiqlol = 1.01 (league 1.11)
| Istiqlol | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Khatlon | 0 | 9.0% | 9.0% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.6% | 12.7% | 6.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.9% | 8.9% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.8% · Draw 26.9% · Away win 26.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1