Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 12:00 •
Stadion Ibrogimbek Gaforov
Expected Goals
1.04 (league 1.21)
0.38 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 52.0% | 34.7% | 13.3% |
best score tips
1 - 0
25.2%
0 - 0
24.2%
2 - 0
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Istaravshan | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Barki Tajik | 0 | 24.2% | 9.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 25.2% | 9.5% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.1% | 5.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Barki Tajik | Istaravshan |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 33% |
| Attack | 55% | 55% |
| Defense | 64% | 27% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
65%
FT probability
2.5+
46%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Barki Tajik | Istaravshan | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 10 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 19 |
| Wins | 33% | 30% | 32% | 40% | 0% | 21% |
| Draws | 22% | 50% | 37% | 30% | 33% | 32% |
| Loses | 44% | 20% | 32% | 30% | 67% | 47% |
Form: Barki Tajik: LWDDWLDDLLWDLWDWLWD • Istaravshan: DLDLLDLWLWLWDLDLDLW
League goals
| Metric | Barki Tajik | Istaravshan | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 16 | 21 | 17 | 5 | 22 |
| GF avg | 0.6 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 6 | 12 | 18 | 17 | 19 | 36 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 1.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Barki Tajik | Istaravshan | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 63% | 58% | 74% | 89% |
| 1.5 | 37% | 32% | 42% | 37% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 5% | 0% | 32% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 21% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Barki Tajik | Istaravshan | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Barki Tajik | Istaravshan |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 5 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | Barki Tajik | Istaravshan |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-3 | 2-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 2-0 | 2-4 | 6-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Barki Tajik | Istaravshan |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 62% | 38% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 74% | 26% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 45% | 55% |
| Total | 58.0% | 42.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Barki Tajik or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Barki Tajik = 1.04 (league 1.21), Istaravshan = 0.38 (league 1.11)
| Istaravshan | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Barki Tajik | 0 | 24.2% | 9.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 25.2% | 9.5% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.1% | 5.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.0% · Draw 34.7% · Away win 13.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1