League One — China
Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 07:00 • Yanji Nationwide Fitness Centre Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.61 (league 1.49) 0.25 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
71.5% 22.5% 5.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
25.1%
2 - 0
20.2%
0 - 0
15.6%
Score & goals probability table
Dongguan United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Yanbian Longding 0 15.6% 3.9% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.1% 6.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 20.2% 5.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.8% 2.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.4% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricYanbian LongdingDongguan United
Played55
Form67%47%
Attack47%33%
Defense80%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Yanbian Longding Dongguan United
HATHAT
Played131326131326
Wins85%8%46%23%23%23%
Draws8%46%27%38%15%27%
Loses8%46%27%38%62%50%

Form: Yanbian Longding: LDLLWWDWLWWDWWDWWLDDLWWWLD • Dongguan United: LLWLDLDLWLDDLDLWWLDLLWDLWL

League goals

Metric Yanbian Longding Dongguan United
HATHAT
GF total2193015924
GF avg1.60.71.21.20.70.9
GA total51823192039
GA avg0.41.40.91.51.51.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineYanbian LongdingDongguan United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%54%69%81%
1.527%27%23%54%
2.512%4%0%15%
3.50%4%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricYanbian LongdingDongguan United
HATHAT
Clean sheets9312235
Failed to score156358

Penalties

MetricYanbian LongdingDongguan United
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricYanbian LongdingDongguan United
Wins32
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-12-00-1
Biggest losses0-14-01-33-0
Goals For3222
Goals Against2433

Model comparison

MetricYanbian LongdingDongguan United
Form59%41%
Att58%42%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution88%12%
H2h38%62%
Goals45%55%
Total58.5%41.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Yanbian Longding or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.72 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away5.17 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.25 @ Bet365
No1.67 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.35 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.60 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Yanbian Longding = 1.61 (league 1.49), Dongguan United = 0.25 (league 1.12)

Dongguan United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Yanbian Longding 0 15.6% 3.9% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.1% 6.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 20.2% 5.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.8% 2.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.4% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.5% · Draw 22.5% · Away win 5.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1