Sat, Sep 6 2025 • 08:00 • Stadion Zvezda
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.38 (league 1.36) 1.35 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
10.4% 28.1% 61.2%
best score tips
0 - 1
23.9%
0 - 0
17.7%
0 - 2
16.1%
Score & goals probability table
Chertanovo W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Zvezda Perm W 0 17.7% 23.9% 16.1% 7.2% 2.4% 0.7%
1 6.8% 9.1% 6.2% 2.8% 0.9% 0.3%
2 1.3% 1.7% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricZvezda Perm WChertanovo W
Played55
Form7%33%
Attack23%23%
Defense23%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Zvezda Perm W Chertanovo W
HATHAT
Played810189918
Wins25%20%22%22%44%33%
Draws13%20%17%33%11%22%
Loses63%60%61%44%44%44%

Form: Zvezda Perm W: LLLWWWDDLLLLWLLLDL • Chertanovo W: WLLLWLLLWWDWDDLWLD

League goals

Metric Zvezda Perm W Chertanovo W
HATHAT
GF total371061420
GF avg0.40.70.60.71.61.1
GA total81624161228
GA avg1.01.61.31.81.31.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineZvezda Perm WChertanovo W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.544%72%56%67%
1.511%44%28%39%
2.50%17%11%22%
3.50%0%11%11%
4.50%0%6%11%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricZvezda Perm WChertanovo W
HATHAT
Clean sheets325426
Failed to score5510538

Penalties

MetricZvezda Perm WChertanovo W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricZvezda Perm WChertanovo W
Wins32
Draws22
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-22-01-4
Biggest losses0-33-01-63-0
Goals For1225
Goals Against3363

Model comparison

MetricZvezda Perm WChertanovo W
Form17%83%
Att50%50%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution23%77%
H2h93%7%
Goals75%25%
Total48.5%51.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Chertanovo W and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Zvezda Perm W = 0.38 (league 1.36), Chertanovo W = 1.35 (league 1.19)

Chertanovo W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Zvezda Perm W 0 17.7% 23.9% 16.1% 7.2% 2.4% 0.7%
1 6.8% 9.1% 6.2% 2.8% 0.9% 0.3%
2 1.3% 1.7% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 10.4% · Draw 28.1% · Away win 61.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1