Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 10:00 • Arena Chertanovo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.41 (league 1.38) 2.76 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
3.4% 10.5% 79.9%
best score tips
0 - 2
16.1%
0 - 3
14.8%
0 - 1
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
Lokomotiv Moskva W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chertanovo W 0 4.2% 11.6% 16.1% 14.8% 10.2% 5.6%
1 1.7% 4.7% 6.5% 6.0% 4.1% 2.3%
2 0.3% 1.0% 1.3% 1.2% 0.8% 0.5%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChertanovo WLokomotiv Moskva W
Played55
Form47%80%
Attack25%81%
Defense69%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.813 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chertanovo W Lokomotiv Moskva W
HATHAT
Played910199918
Wins22%50%37%44%67%56%
Draws33%10%21%0%11%6%
Loses44%40%42%56%22%39%

Form: Chertanovo W: WLLLWLLLWWDWDDLWLDW • Lokomotiv Moskva W: LWWLWWWLDWLLLWWLWW

League goals

Metric Chertanovo W Lokomotiv Moskva W
HATHAT
GF total61521171633
GF avg0.71.51.11.91.81.8
GA total1612288715
GA avg1.81.21.50.90.80.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChertanovo WLokomotiv Moskva W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.558%63%67%50%
1.526%37%44%22%
2.511%21%28%11%
3.511%11%17%0%
4.55%11%11%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChertanovo WLokomotiv Moskva W
HATHAT
Clean sheets437459
Failed to score538426

Penalties

MetricChertanovo WLokomotiv Moskva W
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricChertanovo WLokomotiv Moskva W
Wins23
Draws21
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-47-02-6
Biggest losses1-63-00-31-0
Goals For2576
Goals Against6333

Model comparison

MetricChertanovo WLokomotiv Moskva W
Form37%63%
Att24%76%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution13%87%
H2h20%80%
Goals27%73%
Total27.5%72.5%

Advice: Winner : Lokomotiv Moskva W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chertanovo W = 0.41 (league 1.38), Lokomotiv Moskva W = 2.76 (league 1.17)

Lokomotiv Moskva W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chertanovo W 0 4.2% 11.6% 16.1% 14.8% 10.2% 5.6%
1 1.7% 4.7% 6.5% 6.0% 4.1% 2.3%
2 0.3% 1.0% 1.3% 1.2% 0.8% 0.5%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 3.4% · Draw 10.5% · Away win 79.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1