Fri, Oct 3 2025 • 17:15 •
UTB Novogorsk-Dynamo
Expected Goals
0.61 (league 1.38)
1.53 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 14.7% | 25.5% | 59.3% |
best score tips
0 - 1
18.0%
0 - 2
13.8%
0 - 0
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Lokomotiv Moskva W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Dinamo Moskva W | 0 | 11.7% | 18.0% | 13.8% | 7.0% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 7.2% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Dinamo Moskva W | Lokomotiv Moskva W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 80% |
| Attack | 60% | 67% |
| Defense | 67% | 87% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
73%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Dinamo Moskva W | Lokomotiv Moskva W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 11 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 20 |
| Wins | 56% | 36% | 45% | 44% | 73% | 60% |
| Draws | 11% | 18% | 15% | 0% | 9% | 5% |
| Loses | 33% | 45% | 40% | 56% | 18% | 35% |
Form: Dinamo Moskva W: WLLWLWWDLLWDLWLWLWWD • Lokomotiv Moskva W: LWWLWWWLDWLLLWWLWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Dinamo Moskva W | Lokomotiv Moskva W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 14 | 27 | 17 | 20 | 37 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1.9 |
| GA total | 9 | 16 | 25 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Dinamo Moskva W | Lokomotiv Moskva W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 60% | 70% | 45% |
| 1.5 | 30% | 40% | 50% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 20% | 25% | 10% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 5% | 15% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 10% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Dinamo Moskva W | Lokomotiv Moskva W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 11 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Dinamo Moskva W | Lokomotiv Moskva W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Dinamo Moskva W | Lokomotiv Moskva W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-3 | 7-0 | 2-6 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 4-1 | 0-3 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 7 | 6 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Dinamo Moskva W | Lokomotiv Moskva W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 45% | 55% |
| Att | 47% | 53% |
| Def | 29% | 71% |
| Poisson Distribution | 30% | 70% |
| H2h | 40% | 60% |
| Goals | 42% | 58% |
| Total | 38.8% | 61.2% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Lokomotiv Moskva W
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Dinamo Moskva W = 0.61 (league 1.38), Lokomotiv Moskva W = 1.53 (league 1.17)
| Lokomotiv Moskva W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Dinamo Moskva W | 0 | 11.7% | 18.0% | 13.8% | 7.0% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 7.2% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.7% · Draw 25.5% · Away win 59.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1