Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 15:00 •
Cherenkov Academy Stadium
Expected Goals
3.49 (league 1.38)
0.24 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 80.1% | 4.9% | 0.9% |
best score tips
3 - 0
17.0%
4 - 0
14.8%
2 - 0
14.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Zvezda Perm W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Spartak Moskva W | 0 | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 8.4% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.7% | 3.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 17.0% | 4.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 14.8% | 3.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 10.4% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Spartak Moskva W | Zvezda Perm W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 100% | 13% |
| Attack | 100% | 23% |
| Defense | 92% | 38% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 17 | 3.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
59%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Spartak Moskva W | Zvezda Perm W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 10 | 20 | 11 | 10 | 21 |
| Wins | 80% | 90% | 85% | 18% | 20% | 19% |
| Draws | 20% | 10% | 15% | 18% | 20% | 19% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 64% | 60% | 62% |
Form: Spartak Moskva W: WWWWDDWWWDWWWWWWWWWW • Zvezda Perm W: LLLWWWDDLLLLWLLLDLLLD
League goals
| Metric | Spartak Moskva W | Zvezda Perm W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 30 | 25 | 55 | 4 | 7 | 11 |
| GF avg | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2.8 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.5 |
| GA total | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 16 | 27 |
| GA avg | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Spartak Moskva W | Zvezda Perm W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 95% | 30% | 43% | 76% |
| 1.5 | 70% | 5% | 10% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 50% | 5% | 0% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Spartak Moskva W | Zvezda Perm W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 8 | 6 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 12 |
Penalties
| Metric | Spartak Moskva W | Zvezda Perm W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Spartak Moskva W | Zvezda Perm W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 0 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-0 | 1-6 | 1-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 0-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 6 | 6 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Spartak Moskva W | Zvezda Perm W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 88% | 12% |
| Att | 85% | 15% |
| Def | 89% | 11% |
| Poisson Distribution | 94% | 6% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 78% | 22% |
| Total | 86.8% | 13.2% |
Advice: Winner : Spartak Moskva W
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Spartak Moskva W = 3.49 (league 1.38), Zvezda Perm W = 0.24 (league 1.17)
| Zvezda Perm W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Spartak Moskva W | 0 | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 8.4% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.7% | 3.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 17.0% | 4.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 14.8% | 3.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 10.4% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 80.1% · Draw 4.9% · Away win 0.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1