Fri, Oct 17 2025 • 16:30 •
Sapsan Arena
Expected Goals
0.55 (league 1.38)
1.92 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 9.8% | 20.1% | 68.7% |
best score tips
0 - 1
16.2%
0 - 2
15.6%
0 - 3
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Spartak Moskva W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lokomotiv Moskva W | 0 | 8.5% | 16.2% | 15.6% | 9.9% | 4.8% | 1.8% |
| 1 | 4.7% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% | |
| 2 | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Lokomotiv Moskva W | Spartak Moskva W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 100% |
| Attack | 56% | 100% |
| Defense | 78% | 89% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 18 | 3.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
83%
FT probability
2.5+
58%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Lokomotiv Moskva W | Spartak Moskva W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 12 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 21 |
| Wins | 44% | 67% | 57% | 82% | 90% | 86% |
| Draws | 0% | 8% | 5% | 18% | 10% | 14% |
| Loses | 56% | 25% | 38% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Lokomotiv Moskva W: LWWLWWWLDWLLLWWLWWWWL • Spartak Moskva W: WWWWDDWWWDWWWWWWWWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Lokomotiv Moskva W | Spartak Moskva W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 21 | 38 | 34 | 25 | 59 |
| GF avg | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 3.1 | 2.5 | 2.8 |
| GA total | 8 | 11 | 19 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Lokomotiv Moskva W | Spartak Moskva W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 48% | 95% | 33% |
| 1.5 | 48% | 24% | 71% | 5% |
| 2.5 | 24% | 14% | 52% | 5% |
| 3.5 | 14% | 5% | 29% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 10% | 0% | 19% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Lokomotiv Moskva W | Spartak Moskva W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 14 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Lokomotiv Moskva W | Spartak Moskva W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Lokomotiv Moskva W | Spartak Moskva W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 7-0 | 2-6 | 6-0 | 1-6 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 4-1 | — | — |
| Goals For | 7 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Lokomotiv Moskva W | Spartak Moskva W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44% | 56% |
| Att | 36% | 64% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 23% | 77% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 39.3% | 60.7% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Spartak Moskva W
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Lokomotiv Moskva W = 0.55 (league 1.38), Spartak Moskva W = 1.92 (league 1.17)
| Spartak Moskva W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lokomotiv Moskva W | 0 | 8.5% | 16.2% | 15.6% | 9.9% | 4.8% | 1.8% |
| 1 | 4.7% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% | |
| 2 | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 9.8% · Draw 20.1% · Away win 68.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1