Mon, Sep 1 2025 • 18:45 •
Inver Park
Expected Goals
0.54 (league 2.02)
4.38 (league 1.81)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.3% | 3.8% | 67.2% |
best score tips
0 - 4
11.2%
0 - 3
10.3%
0 - 5
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Crusaders W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Larne W | 0 | 0.7% | 3.2% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 9.9% |
| 1 | 0.4% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Larne W | Crusaders W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 20% |
| Attack | 21% | 21% |
| Defense | 29% | 32% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 20 | 4 | 19 | 3.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
7.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
6.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
85%
FT probability
3.5+
65%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Larne W | Crusaders W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Wins | 0% | 17% | 9% | 33% | 40% | 36% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 100% | 83% | 91% | 67% | 60% | 64% |
Form: Larne W: LLLLLLLLLLW • Crusaders W: WLWWLLLWLLL
League goals
| Metric | Larne W | Crusaders W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 17 |
| GF avg | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 22 | 30 | 52 | 22 | 9 | 31 |
| GA avg | 4.4 | 5.0 | 4.7 | 3.7 | 1.8 | 2.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Larne W | Crusaders W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 45% | 100% | 55% | 82% |
| 1.5 | 9% | 82% | 36% | 73% |
| 2.5 | 9% | 73% | 27% | 36% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 64% | 27% | 27% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 36% | 9% | 27% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Larne W | Crusaders W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Larne W | Crusaders W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Larne W | Crusaders W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 10 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-4 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Biggest losses | 1-9 | 11-0 | 0-8 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 9 | 11 | 8 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Larne W | Crusaders W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 49% | 51% |
| Poisson Distribution | 13% | 87% |
| H2h | 13% | 88% |
| Goals | 8% | 92% |
| Total | 30.5% | 69.7% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Crusaders W and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Larne W = 0.54 (league 2.02), Crusaders W = 4.38 (league 1.81)
| Crusaders W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Larne W | 0 | 0.7% | 3.2% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 9.9% |
| 1 | 0.4% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 1.3% · Draw 3.8% · Away win 67.2%
Vtot 4 , Vtod1