Fri, Sep 5 2025 • 11:00 •
Larrakia Park
Expected Goals
0.52 (league 1.76)
1.08 (league 1.56)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 17.6% | 33.3% | 49.0% |
best score tips
0 - 1
21.9%
0 - 0
20.3%
0 - 2
11.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Darwin Olympic | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Uni Azzurri | 0 | 20.3% | 21.9% | 11.8% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 10.5% | 11.3% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Uni Azzurri | Darwin Olympic |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 67% |
| Attack | 56% | 100% |
| Defense | 44% | 33% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 13 | 2.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Uni Azzurri | Darwin Olympic | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 11 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| Wins | 67% | 36% | 50% | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Draws | 0% | 18% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 25% |
| Loses | 33% | 45% | 40% | 20% | 10% | 15% |
Form: Uni Azzurri: LWLWLWLLDWWWLLWWWDLW • Darwin Olympic: DWWWWWDLDWDLWWWWDWWL
League goals
| Metric | Uni Azzurri | Darwin Olympic | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 12 | 24 | 21 | 14 | 35 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 11 | 22 | 33 | 12 | 7 | 19 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Uni Azzurri | Darwin Olympic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 70% | 60% | 80% | 65% |
| 1.5 | 35% | 40% | 65% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 30% | 15% | 5% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 20% | 5% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 10% | 5% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Uni Azzurri | Darwin Olympic | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Uni Azzurri | Darwin Olympic |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Uni Azzurri | Darwin Olympic |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 5 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-4 | 6-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 6-0 | 2-4 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Uni Azzurri | Darwin Olympic |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 28% | 72% |
| Def | 55% | 45% |
| Poisson Distribution | 33% | 67% |
| H2h | 7% | 93% |
| Goals | 29% | 71% |
| Total | 33.7% | 66.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Darwin Olympic
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Uni Azzurri = 0.52 (league 1.76), Darwin Olympic = 1.08 (league 1.56)
| Darwin Olympic | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Uni Azzurri | 0 | 20.3% | 21.9% | 11.8% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 10.5% | 11.3% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.6% · Draw 33.3% · Away win 49.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1