Sat, Sep 6 2025 • 15:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
1 - 2
Expected Goals
1.61 (league 1.36) 1.14 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.7% 24.7% 26.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.7%
1 - 0
10.2%
2 - 1
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Pobeda
0 1 2 3 4 5
Druzhba 0 6.3% 7.3% 4.1% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
1 10.2% 11.7% 6.7% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.3% 9.5% 5.4% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 4.4% 5.1% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.8% 2.1% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDruzhbaPobeda
Played55
Form73%40%
Attack54%31%
Defense85%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Druzhba Pobeda
HATHAT
Played111324131124
Wins55%31%42%62%55%58%
Draws18%38%29%8%9%8%
Loses27%31%29%31%36%33%

Form: Druzhba: LLLDLWWDWLDDWWLLWWDDWWDW • Pobeda: LDWLWWWWLWWLLWWDWWWWLWLL

League goals

Metric Druzhba Pobeda
HATHAT
GF total221335181230
GF avg2.01.01.51.41.11.3
GA total121123121224
GA avg1.10.81.00.91.11.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDruzhbaPobeda
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%63%75%67%
1.542%21%33%29%
2.521%8%17%4%
3.54%4%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDruzhbaPobeda
HATHAT
Clean sheets459538
Failed to score145246

Penalties

MetricDruzhbaPobeda
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total35

Streaks

MetricDruzhbaPobeda
Wins24
Draws21
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-33-11-3
Biggest losses3-43-21-23-0
Goals For4333
Goals Against4323

Model comparison

MetricDruzhbaPobeda
Form65%35%
Att64%36%
Def78%22%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h67%33%
Goals60%40%
Total65.5%34.5%

Advice: Double chance : Druzhba or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.45 @ Fonbet
Draw2.80 @ Fonbet
Away3.15 @ Fonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.97 @ Fonbet
Under 2.51.74 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.72 @ Marathonbet
No2.05 @ Fonbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Druzhba = 1.61 (league 1.36), Pobeda = 1.14 (league 1.06)

Pobeda
0 1 2 3 4 5
Druzhba 0 6.3% 7.3% 4.1% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
1 10.2% 11.7% 6.7% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.3% 9.5% 5.4% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 4.4% 5.1% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.8% 2.1% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.7% · Draw 24.7% · Away win 26.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1