Super League — Malawi
Wed, Oct 22 2025 • 12:30 • Kamuzu Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.13 (league 1.33) 0.72 (league 0.83)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.2% 31.3% 23.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
17.8%
0 - 0
15.7%
1 - 1
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
Kamuzu Barracks
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ekhaya 0 15.7% 11.3% 4.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.8% 12.8% 4.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.0% 7.2% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.8% 2.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEkhayaKamuzu Barracks
Played55
Form40%47%
Attack58%50%
Defense50%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

60%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

55%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ekhaya Kamuzu Barracks
HATHAT
Played1091910919
Wins70%22%47%30%44%37%
Draws0%22%11%40%11%26%
Loses30%56%42%30%44%37%

Form: Ekhaya: WWLWLWDWWDLLWLWLLLW • Kamuzu Barracks: WLWLWDLDLLDWWDWWLLD

League goals

Metric Ekhaya Kamuzu Barracks
HATHAT
GF total15722101121
GF avg1.50.81.21.01.21.1
GA total5101512921
GA avg0.51.10.81.21.01.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEkhayaKamuzu Barracks
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%58%53%63%
1.532%16%32%32%
2.516%5%21%11%
3.55%0%5%5%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEkhayaKamuzu Barracks
HATHAT
Clean sheets628437
Failed to score257459

Penalties

MetricEkhayaKamuzu Barracks
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricEkhayaKamuzu Barracks
Wins22
Draws11
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-33-00-4
Biggest losses1-23-10-34-0
Goals For4334
Goals Against2334

Model comparison

MetricEkhayaKamuzu Barracks
Form46%54%
Att54%46%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total50.8%49.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Kamuzu Barracks

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ekhaya = 1.13 (league 1.33), Kamuzu Barracks = 0.72 (league 0.83)

Kamuzu Barracks
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ekhaya 0 15.7% 11.3% 4.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.8% 12.8% 4.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.0% 7.2% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.8% 2.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.2% · Draw 31.3% · Away win 23.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1