Super League — Malawi
Wed, Nov 26 2025 • 12:30 • Karonga Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.13 (league 1.33) 0.72 (league 0.83)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.2% 31.3% 23.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
17.8%
0 - 0
15.7%
1 - 1
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
Dedza Dynamos
0 1 2 3 4 5
Karonga United 0 15.7% 11.3% 4.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.8% 12.8% 4.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.0% 7.2% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.8% 2.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKaronga UnitedDedza Dynamos
Played55
Form27%40%
Attack18%29%
Defense71%82%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Karonga United Dedza Dynamos
HATHAT
Played91423121325
Wins56%43%48%33%23%28%
Draws11%21%17%33%15%24%
Loses33%36%35%33%62%48%

Form: Karonga United: WWLWLWWLDLDLWWDWWWLDWLL • Dedza Dynamos: WLLWLLWDWLDLDLLWWLLLLDDDW

League goals

Metric Karonga United Dedza Dynamos
HATHAT
GF total9162581321
GF avg1.01.11.10.71.00.8
GA total5141982028
GA avg0.61.00.80.71.51.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKaronga UnitedDedza Dynamos
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%57%48%64%
1.526%17%20%32%
2.513%9%12%12%
3.54%0%4%4%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKaronga UnitedDedza Dynamos
HATHAT
Clean sheets4610729
Failed to score3587613

Penalties

MetricKaronga UnitedDedza Dynamos
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricKaronga UnitedDedza Dynamos
Wins32
Draws13
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-43-01-4
Biggest losses0-13-10-43-0
Goals For3434
Goals Against1343

Model comparison

MetricKaronga UnitedDedza Dynamos
Form40%60%
Att38%63%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h62%38%
Goals67%33%
Total52.0%48.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Karonga United or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.80 @ William Hill
Draw3.12 @ Marathonbet
Away4.75 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.25 @ William Hill
No1.57 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.55 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Karonga United = 1.13 (league 1.33), Dedza Dynamos = 0.72 (league 0.83)

Dedza Dynamos
0 1 2 3 4 5
Karonga United 0 15.7% 11.3% 4.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.8% 12.8% 4.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.0% 7.2% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.8% 2.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.2% · Draw 31.3% · Away win 23.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1