Chitipa United vs Mighty Tigers

Super League — Malawi

Wed, Dec 3 2025 • 12:30 • Karonga Stadium

Match Finished

Chitipa United

3 - 2

Mighty Tigers

Expected Goals

1.11 (league 1.30) 0.29 (league 0.85)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
56.8%	33.3%	9.8%

best score tips

1 - 0

27.3%

0 - 0

24.7%

2 - 0

15.1%

Score & goals probability table

		Mighty Tigers
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Chitipa United	0	24.7%	7.2%	1.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	1	27.3%	8.0%	1.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	2	15.1%	4.4%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	3	5.6%	1.6%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	1.5%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Chitipa United	Mighty Tigers
Played	5	5
Form	47%	53%
Attack	43%	57%
Defense	0%	29%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	3 \| 0.6	4 \| 0.8
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	7 \| 1.4	5 \| 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

48%

FT probability

2.5+

34%

FT probability

3.5+

24%

FT probability

BTTS

48%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Chitipa United			Mighty Tigers
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	13	13	26	13	13	26
Wins	54%	8%	31%	38%	8%	23%
Draws	38%	31%	35%	15%	46%	31%
Loses	8%	62%	35%	46%	46%	46%

Form: Chitipa United: LDWLDLLDWWDDDDWLLWDLWWLWLD • Mighty Tigers: LLWLLWWDLLWDLDDLLLDLDWDDWL

League goals

Metric	Chitipa United			Mighty Tigers
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	15	2	17	13	6	19
GF avg	1.2	0.2	0.7	1.0	0.5	0.7
GA total	6	16	22	13	16	29
GA avg	0.5	1.2	0.8	1.0	1.2	1.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Chitipa United		Mighty Tigers
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	42%	50%	62%	62%
1.5	15%	23%	12%	38%
2.5	4%	12%	0%	12%
3.5	4%	0%	0%	0%
4.5	0%	0%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Chitipa United			Mighty Tigers
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	9	4	13	5	5	10
Failed to score	4	11	15	2	8	10

Penalties

Metric	Chitipa United	Mighty Tigers
Scored (total \| %)	1 \| 100.00%	2 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	1	2

Streaks

Metric	Chitipa United	Mighty Tigers
Wins	2	2
Draws	4	2
Losses	2	3

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	4-0	0-1	2-0	0-1
Biggest losses	0-2	3-0	2-3	3-0
Goals For	4	1	2	2
Goals Against	2	3	3	3

Model comparison

Metric	Chitipa United	Mighty Tigers
Form	47%	53%
Att	43%	57%
Def	42%	58%
Poisson Distribution	83%	17%
H2h	20%	80%
Goals	33%	67%
Total	44.7%	55.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Mighty Tigers and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Chitipa United vs Mighty Tigers

Expected goals (λ): Chitipa United = 1.11 (league 1.30), Mighty Tigers = 0.29 (league 0.85)

		Mighty Tigers
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Chitipa United	0	24.7%	7.2%	1.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	1	27.3%	8.0%	1.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	2	15.1%	4.4%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	3	5.6%	1.6%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	1.5%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.8% · Draw 33.3% · Away win 9.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1

Metric	Chitipa United	Mighty Tigers
Scored (total \| %)	1 \| 100.00%	2 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	1	2