Super League
— Malawi
Thu, Nov 27 2025 • 12:30 •
Aubrey Dimba Stadium
Expected Goals
0.37 (league 1.30)
1.27 (league 0.85)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 10.7% | 29.7% | 59.4% |
best score tips
0 - 1
24.7%
0 - 0
19.5%
0 - 2
15.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Nyasa Big Bullets | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Kamuzu Barracks | 0 | 19.5% | 24.7% | 15.6% | 6.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 7.2% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Kamuzu Barracks | Nyasa Big Bullets |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 67% |
| Attack | 46% | 69% |
| Defense | 77% | 46% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
63%
FT probability
2.5+
44%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
55%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Kamuzu Barracks | Nyasa Big Bullets | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 12 | 25 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
| Wins | 46% | 33% | 40% | 77% | 70% | 74% |
| Draws | 31% | 8% | 20% | 8% | 10% | 9% |
| Loses | 23% | 58% | 40% | 15% | 20% | 17% |
Form: Kamuzu Barracks: WLWLWDLDLLDWWDWWLLDLLWWWL • Nyasa Big Bullets: WWWWWWLWWWLLWWDWWWWWLDW
League goals
| Metric | Kamuzu Barracks | Nyasa Big Bullets | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 12 | 27 | 38 | 12 | 50 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 2.9 | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| GA total | 12 | 15 | 27 | 12 | 4 | 16 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Kamuzu Barracks | Nyasa Big Bullets | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 56% | 60% | 83% | 39% |
| 1.5 | 28% | 32% | 61% | 17% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 12% | 43% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 4% | 17% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 4% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Kamuzu Barracks | Nyasa Big Bullets | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Kamuzu Barracks | Nyasa Big Bullets |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Kamuzu Barracks | Nyasa Big Bullets |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 6 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-4 | 7-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 4-0 | 0-3 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Kamuzu Barracks | Nyasa Big Bullets |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 70% | 30% |
| Poisson Distribution | 23% | 77% |
| H2h | 15% | 85% |
| Goals | 20% | 80% |
| Total | 35.8% | 64.2% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Nyasa Big Bullets
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Kamuzu Barracks = 0.37 (league 1.30), Nyasa Big Bullets = 1.27 (league 0.85)
| Nyasa Big Bullets | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Kamuzu Barracks | 0 | 19.5% | 24.7% | 15.6% | 6.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 7.2% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 10.7% · Draw 29.7% · Away win 59.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1