Karonga United vs Songwe Border United

Super League — Malawi

Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 12:30 • Karonga Stadium

Match Finished

Karonga United

1 - 0

Songwe Border United

Expected Goals

2.69 (league 1.26) 0.07 (league 0.87)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
86.3%	7.6%	0.5%

best score tips

2 - 0

22.9%

3 - 0

20.6%

1 - 0

17.0%

Score & goals probability table

		Songwe Border United
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Karonga United	0	6.3%	0.4%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	1	17.0%	1.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	2	22.9%	1.6%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	3	20.6%	1.4%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	13.8%	1.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	7.4%	0.5%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Karonga United	Songwe Border United
Played	5	5
Form	87%	7%
Attack	91%	18%
Defense	55%	0%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	10 \| 2	2 \| 0.4
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	5 \| 1	12 \| 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.10

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%

FT probability

2.5+

51%

FT probability

3.5+

36%

FT probability

BTTS

59%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Karonga United			Songwe Border United
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	8	9	17	9	8	17
Wins	50%	56%	53%	0%	0%	0%
Draws	13%	22%	18%	11%	13%	12%
Loses	38%	22%	29%	89%	88%	88%

Form: Karonga United: WWLWLWWLDLDLWWDWW • Songwe Border United: LLLLDLLLLLLLLLDLL

League goals

Metric	Karonga United			Songwe Border United
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	8	13	21	5	1	6
GF avg	1.0	1.4	1.2	0.6	0.1	0.4
GA total	5	9	14	19	27	46
GA avg	0.6	1.0	0.8	2.1	3.4	2.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Karonga United		Songwe Border United
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	71%	53%	35%	94%
1.5	29%	18%	0%	71%
2.5	18%	12%	0%	53%
3.5	6%	0%	0%	29%
4.5	0%	0%	0%	12%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Karonga United			Songwe Border United
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	3	5	8	1	0	1
Failed to score	3	2	5	4	7	11

Penalties

Metric	Karonga United	Songwe Border United
Scored (total \| %)	3 \| 100.00%	1 \| 50.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	1 \| 50.00%
Total	3	2

Streaks

Metric	Karonga United	Songwe Border United
Wins	2	0
Draws	1	1
Losses	1	9

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	3-1	0-4	—	—
Biggest losses	0-1	3-1	1-4	7-0
Goals For	3	4	1	1
Goals Against	1	3	4	7

Model comparison

Metric	Karonga United	Songwe Border United
Form	93%	7%
Att	83%	17%
Def	71%	29%
Poisson Distribution	97%	3%
H2h	100%	0%
Goals	100%	0%
Total	86.0%	14.0%

Advice: Winner : Karonga United

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

📊

League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Karonga United vs Songwe Border United

Expected goals (λ): Karonga United = 2.69 (league 1.26), Songwe Border United = 0.07 (league 0.87)

		Songwe Border United
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Karonga United	0	6.3%	0.4%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	1	17.0%	1.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	2	22.9%	1.6%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	3	20.6%	1.4%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	13.8%	1.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	7.4%	0.5%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 86.3% · Draw 7.6% · Away win 0.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1

Metric	Karonga United	Songwe Border United
Scored (total \| %)	3 \| 100.00%	1 \| 50.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	1 \| 50.00%
Total	3	2