Super League
— Malawi
Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 12:30 •
Mzuzu Stadium
Expected Goals
0.70 (league 1.26)
0.31 (league 0.87)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 40.4% | 44.9% | 14.7% |
best score tips
0 - 0
36.5%
1 - 0
25.4%
0 - 1
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Mighty Tigers | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Moyale Barracks | 0 | 36.5% | 11.4% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 25.4% | 7.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 8.9% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Moyale Barracks | Mighty Tigers |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 13% |
| Attack | 45% | 18% |
| Defense | 27% | 55% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
49%
FT probability
2.5+
34%
FT probability
3.5+
24%
FT probability
BTTS
53%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Moyale Barracks | Mighty Tigers | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 9 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 18 |
| Wins | 11% | 33% | 22% | 33% | 11% | 22% |
| Draws | 67% | 11% | 39% | 11% | 33% | 22% |
| Loses | 22% | 56% | 39% | 56% | 56% | 56% |
Form: Moyale Barracks: WWDDWDDLLLDLDLWLDL • Mighty Tigers: LLWLLWWDLLWDLDDLLL
League goals
| Metric | Moyale Barracks | Mighty Tigers | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 6 | 13 | 9 | 3 | 12 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 8 | 13 | 21 | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Moyale Barracks | Mighty Tigers | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 56% | 72% | 56% | 61% |
| 1.5 | 11% | 28% | 11% | 39% |
| 2.5 | 6% | 17% | 0% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Moyale Barracks | Mighty Tigers | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Moyale Barracks | Mighty Tigers |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Moyale Barracks | Mighty Tigers |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-2 | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-0 | 2-3 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Moyale Barracks | Mighty Tigers |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 71% | 29% |
| Def | 38% | 62% |
| Poisson Distribution | 67% | 33% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 22% | 78% |
| Total | 49.0% | 51.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Moyale Barracks or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Moyale Barracks = 0.70 (league 1.26), Mighty Tigers = 0.31 (league 0.87)
| Mighty Tigers | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Moyale Barracks | 0 | 36.5% | 11.4% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 25.4% | 7.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 8.9% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.4% · Draw 44.9% · Away win 14.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1