Super League
— Malawi
Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 12:30 •
Nankhaka Stadium
Expected Goals
1.27 (league 1.26)
1.29 (league 0.87)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 35.9% | 26.7% | 37.0% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.7%
0 - 1
10.0%
1 - 0
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Karonga United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Blue Eagles | 0 | 7.8% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 9.8% | 12.7% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.2% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Blue Eagles | Karonga United |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 87% |
| Attack | 11% | 56% |
| Defense | 61% | 72% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
63%
FT probability
2.5+
44%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
56%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Blue Eagles | Karonga United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 10 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 18 |
| Wins | 38% | 30% | 33% | 56% | 56% | 56% |
| Draws | 38% | 40% | 39% | 11% | 22% | 17% |
| Loses | 25% | 30% | 28% | 33% | 22% | 28% |
Form: Blue Eagles: LWDWLDWDDWDWWLLLDD • Karonga United: WWLWLWWLDLDLWWDWWW
League goals
| Metric | Blue Eagles | Karonga United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 7 | 20 | 9 | 13 | 22 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 6 | 10 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 14 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Blue Eagles | Karonga United | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 56% | 61% | 72% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 22% | 17% | 28% | 17% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 11% | 17% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 11% | 0% | 6% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Blue Eagles | Karonga United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Blue Eagles | Karonga United |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Blue Eagles | Karonga United |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-1 | 1-2 | 3-1 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-0 | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 6 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Blue Eagles | Karonga United |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 13% | 87% |
| Att | 17% | 83% |
| Def | 42% | 58% |
| Poisson Distribution | 51% | 49% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 75% | 25% |
| Total | 44.8% | 55.2% |
Advice: Double chance : Blue Eagles or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Blue Eagles = 1.27 (league 1.26), Karonga United = 1.29 (league 0.87)
| Karonga United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Blue Eagles | 0 | 7.8% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 9.8% | 12.7% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.2% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.9% · Draw 26.7% · Away win 37.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1