Songwe Border United vs Chitipa United

Super League — Malawi

Wed, Oct 15 2025 • 12:30 • Karonga Stadium

Match Finished

Songwe Border United

1 - 0

Chitipa United

Expected Goals

0.48 (league 1.26) 0.24 (league 0.88)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
31.4%	54.6%	13.9%

best score tips

0 - 0

48.9%

1 - 0

23.3%

0 - 1

11.7%

Score & goals probability table

		Chitipa United
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Songwe Border United	0	48.9%	11.7%	1.4%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	1	23.3%	5.6%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	2	5.5%	1.3%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	3	0.9%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Songwe Border United	Chitipa United
Played	5	5
Form	7%	47%
Attack	25%	38%
Defense	0%	63%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	2 \| 0.4	3 \| 0.6
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	9 \| 1.8	3 \| 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.10

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.70

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%

FT probability

2.5+

42%

FT probability

3.5+

30%

FT probability

BTTS

53%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Songwe Border United			Chitipa United
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	9	10	19	10	9	19
Wins	0%	0%	0%	50%	0%	26%
Draws	11%	10%	11%	40%	44%	42%
Loses	89%	90%	89%	10%	56%	32%

Form: Songwe Border United: LLLLDLLLLLLLLLDLLLL • Chitipa United: LDWLDLLDWWDDDDWLLWD

League goals

Metric	Songwe Border United			Chitipa United
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	5	2	7	12	1	13
GF avg	0.6	0.2	0.4	1.2	0.1	0.7
GA total	19	32	51	5	9	14
GA avg	2.1	3.2	2.7	0.5	1.0	0.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Songwe Border United		Chitipa United
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	37%	95%	42%	47%
1.5	0%	68%	16%	21%
2.5	0%	53%	5%	5%
3.5	0%	32%	5%	0%
4.5	0%	11%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Songwe Border United			Chitipa United
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	1	0	1	7	3	10
Failed to score	4	8	12	3	8	11

Penalties

Metric	Songwe Border United	Chitipa United
Scored (total \| %)	1 \| 100.00%	1 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	1	1

Streaks

Metric	Songwe Border United	Chitipa United
Wins	0	2
Draws	1	4
Losses	9	2

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	—	—	4-0	—
Biggest losses	1-4	7-0	0-2	3-0
Goals For	1	1	4	1
Goals Against	4	7	2	3

Model comparison

Metric	Songwe Border United	Chitipa United
Form	13%	88%
Att	40%	60%
Def	25%	75%
Poisson Distribution	62%	38%
H2h	0%	100%
Goals	0%	100%
Total	35.0%	65.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Chitipa United and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Songwe Border United vs Chitipa United

Expected goals (λ): Songwe Border United = 0.48 (league 1.26), Chitipa United = 0.24 (league 0.88)

		Chitipa United
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Songwe Border United	0	48.9%	11.7%	1.4%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	1	23.3%	5.6%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	2	5.5%	1.3%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	3	0.9%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.4% · Draw 54.6% · Away win 13.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1

Metric	Songwe Border United	Chitipa United
Scored (total \| %)	1 \| 100.00%	1 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	1	1