Super League
— Malawi
Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 12:30 •
Rumphi Stadium
Expected Goals
0.76 (league 1.30)
0.94 (league 0.85)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 28.1% | 33.8% | 38.0% |
best score tips
0 - 0
18.3%
0 - 1
17.2%
1 - 0
13.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Ekhaya | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Moyale Barracks | 0 | 18.3% | 17.2% | 8.1% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.9% | 13.1% | 6.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 5.3% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Moyale Barracks | Ekhaya |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 40% |
| Attack | 39% | 39% |
| Defense | 50% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
56%
FT probability
2.5+
39%
FT probability
3.5+
28%
FT probability
BTTS
59%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Moyale Barracks | Ekhaya | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 9 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 19 |
| Wins | 10% | 33% | 21% | 70% | 22% | 47% |
| Draws | 70% | 11% | 42% | 0% | 22% | 11% |
| Loses | 20% | 56% | 37% | 30% | 56% | 42% |
Form: Moyale Barracks: WWDDWDDLLLDLDLWLDLD • Ekhaya: WWLWLWDWWDLLWLWLLLW
League goals
| Metric | Moyale Barracks | Ekhaya | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 6 | 15 | 15 | 7 | 22 |
| GF avg | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 10 | 13 | 23 | 5 | 10 | 15 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Moyale Barracks | Ekhaya | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 58% | 74% | 63% | 58% |
| 1.5 | 16% | 32% | 32% | 16% |
| 2.5 | 5% | 16% | 16% | 5% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 5% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Moyale Barracks | Ekhaya | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Moyale Barracks | Ekhaya |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Moyale Barracks | Ekhaya |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-2 | 4-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-0 | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Moyale Barracks | Ekhaya |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 45% | 55% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 47% | 53% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 45.5% | 54.5% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Ekhaya
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Moyale Barracks = 0.76 (league 1.30), Ekhaya = 0.94 (league 0.85)
| Ekhaya | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Moyale Barracks | 0 | 18.3% | 17.2% | 8.1% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.9% | 13.1% | 6.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 5.3% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.1% · Draw 33.8% · Away win 38.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1