Super League
— Malawi
Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 12:30 •
Rumphi Stadium
Expected Goals
0.78 (league 1.26)
0.69 (league 0.87)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 34.2% | 37.1% | 28.7% |
best score tips
0 - 0
22.9%
1 - 0
17.9%
0 - 1
15.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Creck | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Moyale Barracks | 0 | 22.9% | 15.8% | 5.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.9% | 12.4% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 7.0% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Moyale Barracks | Creck |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 47% |
| Attack | 58% | 25% |
| Defense | 25% | 83% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
51%
FT probability
2.5+
36%
FT probability
3.5+
26%
FT probability
BTTS
54%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Moyale Barracks | Creck | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 9 | 19 | 11 | 9 | 20 |
| Wins | 10% | 33% | 21% | 36% | 22% | 30% |
| Draws | 70% | 11% | 42% | 36% | 33% | 35% |
| Loses | 20% | 56% | 37% | 27% | 44% | 35% |
Form: Moyale Barracks: WWDDWDDLLLDLDLWLDLD • Creck: LLDWLDWWLLWLWDLDDDDW
League goals
| Metric | Moyale Barracks | Creck | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 6 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| GF avg | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 10 | 13 | 23 | 8 | 10 | 18 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Moyale Barracks | Creck | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 58% | 74% | 50% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 16% | 32% | 15% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 5% | 16% | 0% | 10% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 10% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Moyale Barracks | Creck | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | Moyale Barracks | Creck |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Moyale Barracks | Creck |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-2 | 2-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-0 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Moyale Barracks | Creck |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 42% | 58% |
| Att | 70% | 30% |
| Def | 18% | 82% |
| Poisson Distribution | 56% | 44% |
| H2h | 13% | 88% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 38.7% | 61.5% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Creck and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Moyale Barracks = 0.78 (league 1.26), Creck = 0.69 (league 0.87)
| Creck | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Moyale Barracks | 0 | 22.9% | 15.8% | 5.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.9% | 12.4% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 7.0% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.2% · Draw 37.1% · Away win 28.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1