Super League
— Malawi
Thu, Dec 4 2025 • 12:30 •
Rumphi Stadium
Expected Goals
0.92 (league 1.31)
0.74 (league 0.85)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 37.8% | 34.3% | 27.8% |
best score tips
0 - 0
19.0%
1 - 0
17.5%
0 - 1
14.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Creck | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Moyale Barracks | 0 | 19.0% | 14.1% | 5.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.5% | 13.0% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 8.0% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Moyale Barracks | Creck |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 53% |
| Attack | 58% | 50% |
| Defense | 42% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
55%
FT probability
2.5+
39%
FT probability
3.5+
28%
FT probability
BTTS
59%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Moyale Barracks | Creck | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 12 | 24 | 13 | 12 | 25 |
| Wins | 25% | 33% | 29% | 46% | 17% | 32% |
| Draws | 58% | 17% | 38% | 31% | 42% | 36% |
| Loses | 17% | 50% | 33% | 23% | 42% | 32% |
Form: Moyale Barracks: WWDDWDDLLLDLDLWLDLDWWDWL • Creck: LLDWLDWWLLWLWDLDDDDWLDDWW
League goals
| Metric | Moyale Barracks | Creck | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 10 | 22 | 11 | 8 | 19 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 11 | 19 | 30 | 8 | 14 | 22 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Moyale Barracks | Creck | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 63% | 75% | 60% | 52% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 33% | 16% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 4% | 17% | 0% | 8% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Moyale Barracks | Creck | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 12 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | Moyale Barracks | Creck |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Moyale Barracks | Creck |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-2 | 2-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-0 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Moyale Barracks | Creck |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56% | 44% |
| Att | 54% | 46% |
| Def | 36% | 64% |
| Poisson Distribution | 57% | 43% |
| H2h | 13% | 88% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 41.5% | 58.7% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Creck
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Moyale Barracks = 0.92 (league 1.31), Creck = 0.74 (league 0.85)
| Creck | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Moyale Barracks | 0 | 19.0% | 14.1% | 5.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.5% | 13.0% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 8.0% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.8% · Draw 34.3% · Away win 27.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1