Super League
— Malawi
Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 12:30 •
Karonga Stadium
Expected Goals
1.80 (league 1.26)
0.46 (league 0.87)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 69.2% | 21.0% | 8.7% |
best score tips
1 - 0
18.7%
2 - 0
16.9%
0 - 0
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Ekwendeni Hammers | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Chitipa United | 0 | 10.4% | 4.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.7% | 8.6% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.9% | 7.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.2% | 4.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Chitipa United | Ekwendeni Hammers |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 47% |
| Attack | 23% | 38% |
| Defense | 85% | 62% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
59%
FT probability
2.5+
42%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
54%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Chitipa United | Ekwendeni Hammers | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 10 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 21 |
| Wins | 55% | 0% | 29% | 18% | 30% | 24% |
| Draws | 36% | 40% | 38% | 27% | 0% | 14% |
| Loses | 9% | 60% | 33% | 55% | 70% | 62% |
Form: Chitipa United: LDWLDLLDWWDDDDWLLWDLW • Ekwendeni Hammers: LWLDLLWLDLLLLLLWDWLWL
League goals
| Metric | Chitipa United | Ekwendeni Hammers | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 1 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 16 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 5 | 10 | 15 | 16 | 19 | 35 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Chitipa United | Ekwendeni Hammers | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 43% | 48% | 57% | 81% |
| 1.5 | 14% | 19% | 19% | 43% |
| 2.5 | 5% | 5% | 0% | 24% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 10% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Chitipa United | Ekwendeni Hammers | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 8 | 3 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 9 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Chitipa United | Ekwendeni Hammers |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Chitipa United | Ekwendeni Hammers |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 4 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 6 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | — | 2-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-0 | 1-3 | 6-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Chitipa United | Ekwendeni Hammers |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 38% | 63% |
| Def | 71% | 29% |
| Poisson Distribution | 81% | 19% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 29% | 71% |
| Total | 49.7% | 50.5% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Ekwendeni Hammers and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Chitipa United = 1.80 (league 1.26), Ekwendeni Hammers = 0.46 (league 0.87)
| Ekwendeni Hammers | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Chitipa United | 0 | 10.4% | 4.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.7% | 8.6% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.9% | 7.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.2% | 4.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 69.2% · Draw 21.0% · Away win 8.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1