Super League
— Malawi
Wed, Nov 19 2025 • 12:30 •
Aubrey Dimba Stadium
Expected Goals
0.54 (league 1.31)
0.99 (league 0.85)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 19.5% | 34.9% | 45.6% |
best score tips
0 - 0
21.8%
0 - 1
21.5%
1 - 0
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Karonga United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Creck | 0 | 21.8% | 21.5% | 10.6% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.7% | 11.5% | 5.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Creck | Karonga United |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 47% |
| Attack | 56% | 44% |
| Defense | 44% | 56% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
51%
FT probability
2.5+
36%
FT probability
3.5+
26%
FT probability
BTTS
53%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Creck | Karonga United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 12 | 23 | 9 | 13 | 22 |
| Wins | 36% | 17% | 26% | 56% | 46% | 50% |
| Draws | 36% | 42% | 39% | 11% | 23% | 18% |
| Loses | 27% | 42% | 35% | 33% | 31% | 32% |
Form: Creck: LLDWLDWWLLWLWDLDDDDWLDD • Karonga United: WWLWLWWLDLDLWWDWWWLDWL
League goals
| Metric | Creck | Karonga United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 8 | 16 | 9 | 16 | 25 |
| GF avg | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 8 | 14 | 22 | 5 | 13 | 18 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Creck | Karonga United | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 57% | 57% | 68% | 55% |
| 1.5 | 13% | 22% | 27% | 18% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 9% | 14% | 9% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 9% | 5% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Creck | Karonga United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 3 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Creck | Karonga United |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Creck | Karonga United |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 4 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-2 | 3-1 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 4-1 | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Creck | Karonga United |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 46% | 54% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 36% | 64% |
| H2h | 13% | 88% |
| Goals | 25% | 75% |
| Total | 36.7% | 63.5% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Karonga United and -3.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Creck = 0.54 (league 1.31), Karonga United = 0.99 (league 0.85)
| Karonga United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Creck | 0 | 21.8% | 21.5% | 10.6% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.7% | 11.5% | 5.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.5% · Draw 34.9% · Away win 45.6%
Vtot 3 , Vtod1