Super League
— Malawi
Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 12:30 •
Aubrey Dimba Stadium
Expected Goals
0.61 (league 1.26)
1.13 (league 0.87)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 19.8% | 31.9% | 48.1% |
best score tips
0 - 1
19.8%
0 - 0
17.6%
1 - 1
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Karonga United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Creck | 0 | 17.6% | 19.8% | 11.2% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 10.7% | 12.1% | 6.8% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Creck | Karonga United |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 67% |
| Attack | 36% | 73% |
| Defense | 64% | 55% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
55%
FT probability
2.5+
39%
FT probability
3.5+
28%
FT probability
BTTS
53%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Creck | Karonga United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 10 | 21 | 9 | 11 | 20 |
| Wins | 36% | 20% | 29% | 56% | 45% | 50% |
| Draws | 36% | 30% | 33% | 11% | 27% | 20% |
| Loses | 27% | 50% | 38% | 33% | 27% | 30% |
Form: Creck: LLDWLDWWLLWLWDLDDDDWL • Karonga United: WWLWLWWLDLDLWWDWWWLD
League goals
| Metric | Creck | Karonga United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 6 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 24 |
| GF avg | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 8 | 12 | 20 | 5 | 12 | 17 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Creck | Karonga United | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 52% | 52% | 70% | 55% |
| 1.5 | 14% | 24% | 30% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 10% | 15% | 10% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 10% | 5% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Creck | Karonga United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 3 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Creck | Karonga United |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Creck | Karonga United |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 4 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-2 | 3-1 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 4-1 | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Creck | Karonga United |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 63% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 36% | 64% |
| H2h | 13% | 88% |
| Goals | 25% | 75% |
| Total | 33.5% | 66.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Karonga United and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Creck = 0.61 (league 1.26), Karonga United = 1.13 (league 0.87)
| Karonga United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Creck | 0 | 17.6% | 19.8% | 11.2% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 10.7% | 12.1% | 6.8% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.8% · Draw 31.9% · Away win 48.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1