Super League
— Malawi
Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 12:30 •
Mpira Stadium
Expected Goals
1.03 (league 1.26)
1.39 (league 0.87)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 27.7% | 26.9% | 45.0% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.7%
0 - 1
12.4%
1 - 0
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Kamuzu Barracks | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mighty Tigers | 0 | 8.9% | 12.4% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 9.1% | 12.7% | 8.9% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 4.7% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Mighty Tigers | Kamuzu Barracks |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 27% |
| Attack | 42% | 33% |
| Defense | 50% | 33% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
61%
FT probability
2.5+
43%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
59%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Mighty Tigers | Kamuzu Barracks | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 11 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 22 |
| Wins | 36% | 9% | 23% | 36% | 36% | 36% |
| Draws | 9% | 45% | 27% | 36% | 9% | 23% |
| Loses | 55% | 45% | 50% | 27% | 55% | 41% |
Form: Mighty Tigers: LLWLLWWDLLWDLDDLLLDLDW • Kamuzu Barracks: WLWLWDLDLLDWWDWWLLDLLW
League goals
| Metric | Mighty Tigers | Kamuzu Barracks | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 5 | 16 | 11 | 12 | 23 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 12 | 12 | 24 | 12 | 14 | 26 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Mighty Tigers | Kamuzu Barracks | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 59% | 59% | 55% | 64% |
| 1.5 | 14% | 41% | 27% | 36% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 9% | 18% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 5% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Mighty Tigers | Kamuzu Barracks | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | Mighty Tigers | Kamuzu Barracks |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Mighty Tigers | Kamuzu Barracks |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-1 | 3-0 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 3-1 | 0-3 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Mighty Tigers | Kamuzu Barracks |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56% | 44% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 57% | 43% |
| Poisson Distribution | 43% | 57% |
| H2h | 25% | 75% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 45.0% | 55.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Kamuzu Barracks
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Mighty Tigers = 1.03 (league 1.26), Kamuzu Barracks = 1.39 (league 0.87)
| Kamuzu Barracks | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mighty Tigers | 0 | 8.9% | 12.4% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 9.1% | 12.7% | 8.9% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 4.7% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.7% · Draw 26.9% · Away win 45.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1