Super League
— Malawi
Wed, Nov 19 2025 • 12:30 •
Mpira Stadium
Expected Goals
1.00 (league 1.30)
1.42 (league 0.85)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 26.4% | 26.8% | 46.4% |
best score tips
0 - 1
12.6%
1 - 1
12.6%
0 - 2
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Kamuzu Barracks | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mighty Tigers | 0 | 8.9% | 12.6% | 9.0% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 8.9% | 12.6% | 9.0% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 4.4% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Mighty Tigers | Kamuzu Barracks |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Attack | 44% | 67% |
| Defense | 56% | 44% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
61%
FT probability
2.5+
43%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Mighty Tigers | Kamuzu Barracks | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 12 | 24 | 13 | 11 | 24 |
| Wins | 33% | 8% | 21% | 46% | 36% | 42% |
| Draws | 17% | 50% | 33% | 31% | 9% | 21% |
| Loses | 50% | 42% | 46% | 23% | 55% | 38% |
Form: Mighty Tigers: LLWLLWWDLLWDLDDLLLDLDWDD • Kamuzu Barracks: WLWLWDLDLLDWWDWWLLDLLWWW
League goals
| Metric | Mighty Tigers | Kamuzu Barracks | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 6 | 18 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 13 | 13 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 26 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Mighty Tigers | Kamuzu Barracks | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 63% | 63% | 58% | 58% |
| 1.5 | 13% | 38% | 29% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 8% | 21% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 4% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Mighty Tigers | Kamuzu Barracks | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | Mighty Tigers | Kamuzu Barracks |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Mighty Tigers | Kamuzu Barracks |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-1 | 3-0 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 3-1 | 0-3 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Mighty Tigers | Kamuzu Barracks |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 43% | 57% |
| H2h | 25% | 75% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 39.5% | 60.5% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Kamuzu Barracks
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Mighty Tigers = 1.00 (league 1.30), Kamuzu Barracks = 1.42 (league 0.85)
| Kamuzu Barracks | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mighty Tigers | 0 | 8.9% | 12.6% | 9.0% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 8.9% | 12.6% | 9.0% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 4.4% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.4% · Draw 26.8% · Away win 46.4%
Vtot 3 , Vtod1