Super League — Malawi
Wed, Dec 10 2025 • 12:30 • Rumphi Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.38 (league 1.33) 1.30 (league 0.83)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
10.7% 29.1% 60.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
24.3%
0 - 0
18.7%
0 - 2
15.8%
Score & goals probability table
Nyasa Big Bullets
0 1 2 3 4 5
Moyale Barracks 0 18.7% 24.3% 15.8% 6.8% 2.2% 0.6%
1 7.1% 9.2% 5.9% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
2 1.3% 1.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMoyale BarracksNyasa Big Bullets
Played55
Form47%67%
Attack33%53%
Defense40%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Moyale Barracks Nyasa Big Bullets
HATHAT
Played121325131326
Wins25%31%28%77%69%73%
Draws58%15%36%8%8%8%
Loses17%54%36%15%23%19%

Form: Moyale Barracks: WWDDWDDLLLDLDLWLDLDWWDWLL • Nyasa Big Bullets: WWWWWWLWWWLLWWDWWWWWLDWWLW

League goals

Metric Moyale Barracks Nyasa Big Bullets
HATHAT
GF total121022381654
GF avg1.00.80.92.91.22.1
GA total11223312618
GA avg0.91.71.30.90.50.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMoyale BarracksNyasa Big Bullets
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%76%81%38%
1.524%36%62%19%
2.54%20%38%12%
3.50%0%15%0%
4.50%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMoyale BarracksNyasa Big Bullets
HATHAT
Clean sheets3367916
Failed to score4610235

Penalties

MetricMoyale BarracksNyasa Big Bullets
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total04

Streaks

MetricMoyale BarracksNyasa Big Bullets
Wins26
Draws21
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-27-01-3
Biggest losses0-23-00-32-0
Goals For3273
Goals Against2332

Model comparison

MetricMoyale BarracksNyasa Big Bullets
Form41%59%
Att38%62%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution22%78%
H2h15%85%
Goals29%71%
Total30.2%69.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Nyasa Big Bullets

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home9.25 @ 1xBet
Draw4.55 @ Betano
Away1.73 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.91 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.88 @ Betfair
No1.66 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Moyale Barracks = 0.38 (league 1.33), Nyasa Big Bullets = 1.30 (league 0.83)

Nyasa Big Bullets
0 1 2 3 4 5
Moyale Barracks 0 18.7% 24.3% 15.8% 6.8% 2.2% 0.6%
1 7.1% 9.2% 5.9% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
2 1.3% 1.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 10.7% · Draw 29.1% · Away win 60.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1