Super League
— Malawi
Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 12:30 •
Rumphi Stadium
Expected Goals
0.32 (league 1.26)
1.50 (league 0.87)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5% | 25.0% | 67.0% |
best score tips
0 - 1
24.4%
0 - 2
18.3%
0 - 0
16.3%
| Nyasa Big Bullets | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Moyale Barracks | 0 | 16.3% | 24.4% | 18.3% | 9.1% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 5.2% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Moyale Barracks | Nyasa Big Bullets |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 80% |
| Attack | 46% | 85% |
| Defense | 31% | 62% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
61%
FT probability
2.5+
43%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Moyale Barracks | Nyasa Big Bullets | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 9 | 20 | 12 | 9 | 21 |
| Wins | 18% | 33% | 25% | 75% | 78% | 76% |
| Draws | 64% | 11% | 40% | 8% | 0% | 5% |
| Loses | 18% | 56% | 35% | 17% | 22% | 19% |
Form: Moyale Barracks: WWDDWDDLLLDLDLWLDLDW • Nyasa Big Bullets: WWWWWWLWWWLLWWDWWWWWL
League goals
| Metric | Moyale Barracks | Nyasa Big Bullets | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 6 | 17 | 34 | 12 | 46 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 2.8 | 1.3 | 2.2 |
| GA total | 11 | 13 | 24 | 9 | 4 | 13 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Moyale Barracks | Nyasa Big Bullets | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 75% | 86% | 38% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 30% | 62% | 14% |
| 2.5 | 5% | 15% | 43% | 10% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 14% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 5% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Moyale Barracks | Nyasa Big Bullets | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Moyale Barracks | Nyasa Big Bullets |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Moyale Barracks | Nyasa Big Bullets |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 6 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-2 | 7-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-0 | 0-3 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 7 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Moyale Barracks | Nyasa Big Bullets |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 29% | 71% |
| Att | 35% | 65% |
| Def | 36% | 64% |
| Poisson Distribution | 19% | 81% |
| H2h | 15% | 85% |
| Goals | 29% | 71% |
| Total | 27.2% | 72.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Nyasa Big Bullets
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Moyale Barracks = 0.32 (league 1.26), Nyasa Big Bullets = 1.50 (league 0.87)
| Nyasa Big Bullets | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Moyale Barracks | 0 | 16.3% | 24.4% | 18.3% | 9.1% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 5.2% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 7.5% · Draw 25.0% · Away win 67.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1