Super League — Malawi
Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 12:30 • Champion Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.92 (league 1.30) 1.53 (league 0.85)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
22.8% 25.8% 50.9%
best score tips
0 - 1
13.2%
1 - 1
12.2%
0 - 2
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
Karonga United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kamuzu Barracks 0 8.6% 13.2% 10.1% 5.1% 2.0% 0.6%
1 8.0% 12.2% 9.3% 4.7% 1.8% 0.6%
2 3.7% 5.6% 4.3% 2.2% 0.8% 0.3%
3 1.1% 1.7% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKamuzu BarracksKaronga United
Played55
Form47%67%
Attack100%100%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Kamuzu Barracks Karonga United
HATHAT
Played12112391221
Wins42%36%39%56%50%52%
Draws33%9%22%11%25%19%
Loses25%55%39%33%25%29%

Form: Kamuzu Barracks: WLWLWDLDLLDWWDWWLLDLLWW • Karonga United: WWLWLWWLDLDLWWDWWWLDW

League goals

Metric Kamuzu Barracks Karonga United
HATHAT
GF total14122691625
GF avg1.21.11.11.01.31.2
GA total12142651217
GA avg1.01.31.10.61.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKamuzu BarracksKaronga United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%61%71%52%
1.530%35%29%19%
2.522%13%14%10%
3.54%4%5%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKamuzu BarracksKaronga United
HATHAT
Clean sheets6394610
Failed to score4610336

Penalties

MetricKamuzu BarracksKaronga United
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricKamuzu BarracksKaronga United
Wins23
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-43-10-4
Biggest losses0-34-00-13-1
Goals For3434
Goals Against3413

Model comparison

MetricKamuzu BarracksKaronga United
Form41%59%
Att54%46%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution38%62%
H2h62%38%
Goals56%44%
Total47.8%52.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Karonga United

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.21 @ 1xBet
Draw3.00 @ Bet365
Away3.40 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.57 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.03 @ Marathonbet
No1.78 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Kamuzu Barracks = 0.92 (league 1.30), Karonga United = 1.53 (league 0.85)

Karonga United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kamuzu Barracks 0 8.6% 13.2% 10.1% 5.1% 2.0% 0.6%
1 8.0% 12.2% 9.3% 4.7% 1.8% 0.6%
2 3.7% 5.6% 4.3% 2.2% 0.8% 0.3%
3 1.1% 1.7% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.8% · Draw 25.8% · Away win 50.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1