Super League — Malawi
Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 12:30 • Karonga Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.19 (league 1.31) 0.41 (league 0.85)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
55.9% 31.2% 12.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
24.0%
0 - 0
20.1%
2 - 0
14.3%
Score & goals probability table
MAFCO
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chitipa United 0 20.1% 8.3% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.0% 9.9% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.3% 5.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 5.7% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChitipa UnitedMAFCO
Played55
Form47%40%
Attack23%54%
Defense85%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

53%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

52%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chitipa United MAFCO
HATHAT
Played111021111021
Wins55%0%29%45%10%29%
Draws36%40%38%9%40%24%
Loses9%60%33%45%50%48%

Form: Chitipa United: LDWLDLLDWWDDDDWLLWDLW • MAFCO: WLLWLLLDLWWDWLLLDWDDL

League goals

Metric Chitipa United MAFCO
HATHAT
GF total1311414721
GF avg1.20.10.71.30.71.0
GA total51015151328
GA avg0.51.00.71.41.31.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChitipa UnitedMAFCO
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.543%48%52%81%
1.514%19%33%38%
2.55%5%14%10%
3.55%0%0%5%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChitipa UnitedMAFCO
HATHAT
Clean sheets8311224
Failed to score39124610

Penalties

MetricChitipa UnitedMAFCO
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricChitipa UnitedMAFCO
Wins22
Draws42
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-0—3-11-3
Biggest losses0-23-00-43-0
Goals For4133
Goals Against2343

Model comparison

MetricChitipa UnitedMAFCO
Form54%46%
Att30%70%
Def82%18%
Poisson Distribution77%23%
H2h15%85%
Goals25%75%
Total47.2%52.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or MAFCO and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.50 @ Betano
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away2.70 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.75 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.44 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Unibet
No1.60 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chitipa United = 1.19 (league 1.31), MAFCO = 0.41 (league 0.85)

MAFCO
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chitipa United 0 20.1% 8.3% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.0% 9.9% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.3% 5.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 5.7% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.9% · Draw 31.2% · Away win 12.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1