Super League — Malawi
Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 12:30 • Champion Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.69 (league 1.30) 0.77 (league 0.85)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.9% 37.2% 33.9%
best score tips
0 - 0
23.1%
0 - 1
17.9%
1 - 0
16.0%
Score & goals probability table
MAFCO
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kamuzu Barracks 0 23.1% 17.9% 6.9% 1.8% 0.3% 0.1%
1 16.0% 12.4% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 5.5% 4.3% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.3% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKamuzu BarracksMAFCO
Played55
Form47%27%
Attack36%27%
Defense82%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

54%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Kamuzu Barracks MAFCO
HATHAT
Played991810818
Wins33%44%39%50%13%33%
Draws33%11%22%0%38%17%
Loses33%44%39%50%50%50%

Form: Kamuzu Barracks: WLWLWDLDLLDWWDWWLL • MAFCO: WLLWLLLDLWWDWLLLDW

League goals

Metric Kamuzu Barracks MAFCO
HATHAT
GF total8111912517
GF avg0.91.21.11.20.60.9
GA total1091913821
GA avg1.11.01.11.31.01.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKamuzu BarracksMAFCO
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%61%50%78%
1.528%28%28%28%
2.522%11%17%6%
3.56%6%0%6%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKamuzu BarracksMAFCO
HATHAT
Clean sheets437224
Failed to score459459

Penalties

MetricKamuzu BarracksMAFCO
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricKamuzu BarracksMAFCO
Wins22
Draws11
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-43-11-3
Biggest losses0-34-00-42-0
Goals For3433
Goals Against3442

Model comparison

MetricKamuzu BarracksMAFCO
Form64%36%
Att57%43%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h50%50%
Goals62%38%
Total58.5%41.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Kamuzu Barracks or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.07 @ 1xBet
Draw3.25 @ Bet365
Away3.44 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.65 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.94 @ 1xBet
No1.82 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Kamuzu Barracks = 0.69 (league 1.30), MAFCO = 0.77 (league 0.85)

MAFCO
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kamuzu Barracks 0 23.1% 17.9% 6.9% 1.8% 0.3% 0.1%
1 16.0% 12.4% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 5.5% 4.3% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.3% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.9% · Draw 37.2% · Away win 33.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1