Super League — Malawi
Sun, Aug 31 2025 • 12:30 • Mulanje Park Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.79 (league 1.26) 1.61 (league 0.87)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
18.3% 24.8% 56.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.6%
0 - 2
11.7%
1 - 1
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
Karonga United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mighty Tigers 0 9.0% 14.6% 11.7% 6.3% 2.5% 0.8%
1 7.2% 11.5% 9.3% 5.0% 2.0% 0.6%
2 2.8% 4.6% 3.7% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3%
3 0.7% 1.2% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMighty TigersKaronga United
Played55
Form20%67%
Attack0%100%
Defense75%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)0 | 08 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

57%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mighty Tigers Karonga United
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins38%13%25%50%50%50%
Draws13%38%25%13%25%19%
Loses50%50%50%38%25%31%

Form: Mighty Tigers: LLWLLWWDLLWDLDDL • Karonga United: WWLWLWWLDLDLWWDW

League goals

Metric Mighty Tigers Karonga United
HATHAT
GF total821081119
GF avg1.00.30.61.01.41.2
GA total88165813
GA avg1.01.01.00.61.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMighty TigersKaronga United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%56%69%50%
1.513%31%25%19%
2.50%13%19%13%
3.50%0%6%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMighty TigersKaronga United
HATHAT
Clean sheets347358
Failed to score268325

Penalties

MetricMighty TigersKaronga United
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricMighty TigersKaronga United
Wins22
Draws21
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-13-10-4
Biggest losses2-33-10-13-1
Goals For2134
Goals Against3313

Model comparison

MetricMighty TigersKaronga United
Form23%77%
Att0%100%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution35%65%
H2h62%38%
Goals50%50%
Total48.2%51.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Karonga United and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mighty Tigers = 0.79 (league 1.26), Karonga United = 1.61 (league 0.87)

Karonga United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mighty Tigers 0 9.0% 14.6% 11.7% 6.3% 2.5% 0.8%
1 7.2% 11.5% 9.3% 5.0% 2.0% 0.6%
2 2.8% 4.6% 3.7% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3%
3 0.7% 1.2% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.3% · Draw 24.8% · Away win 56.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1